The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AFC Wimbledon 46.8%
Draw 28.7%
Burton Albion 24.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.4%
27.7%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.2%
25.6%
23.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
94.1%
5.9%
0%
AFC Wimbledon - Burton Albion Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS, 1st Half - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
AFC Wimbledon will win
(16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%). Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): AFC Wimbledon will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bishop N. (G) 33. Ogundere I. 15. Bauer P. 6. Johnson R. 2. Asiimwe N. 12. Smith A. 4. Reeves J. (C) 3. Seddon S. 11. Browne M. 21. Hippolyte M. 9. Bugiel O.
24. Collins B. (G) 2. Godwin-Malife U. (C) 26. Delap F. 16. Hartridge A. 15. Lofthouse K. 12. Evans G. 4. Chauke K. 8. Webster C. 3. Armer J. 9. Beesley J. 10. Shade T.
Substitutes
16. Hackford A. 26. Harbottle R. 5. Hutchinson S. 8. Maycock C. 20. McDonnell J. (G) 7. Orsi-Dadomo D. 29. Sasu A.
14. Akoto N. 27. Dudek K. (G) 41. Krubally S. 38. Newall J. 6. Sibbick T. 39. Taroni J. 11. Tavares F.
Coaches
Jackson J.
Bowyer G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Bugiel O. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Bugiel O. 🟨,
51', 0 - 1, Hartridge A. ⚽, Webster C. (A),
60', Asiimwe N. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
60', Hippolyte M. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
61', Bauer P. ↓, Harbottle R. ↑,
72', Johnson R. 🟨,
72', Hartridge A. 🟨,
76', Bugiel O. ↓, Orsi-Dadomo D. ↑,
79', Chauke K. ↓, Sibbick T. ↑,
79', Collins B. 🟨,
88', Shade T. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,
90+3', Godwin-Malife U. 🟨,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 0.
Wimbledon has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Burton's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Wimbledon will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Burton: Hazlehurst J.
(Ankle Injury)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Sraha J.
(Inactive)
Vancooten T.
(Leg Injury)
There are questionable in Burton: Newall J.
(Inactive)
Revan S.
(Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Burton Albion - the odds 3.61 are the expected chance of winning is 25.94%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.