Match Info

League One - Round 14

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Lamex Stadium (Stevenage)

Referee: Allison S. (Eng)


	Stevenage Borough		Bradford City

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.2	2.57	Watch
	2.68	3.15	2.62	Watch
	2.54	3.25	2.99
	2.35	3.22	2.87	Watch
	2.55	3.14	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.37)	3.19 ↓ (3.27)	2.76 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stevenage Borough
36.9%

Draw
29.3%

Bradford City
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

28.5%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

28.8%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	35.7%	21.4%

Stevenage Borough - Bradford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Bradford will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 17% – 68.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Bradford (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marschall F. (G) 17. Pattenden J. 15. Goode C. 5. Piergianni C. (C) 16. Freestone L. 4. Houghton J. 18. White H. 11. Roberts J. 10. Kemp D. 30. Lubala B. 19. Reid J.	1. Walker S. (G) 5. Byrne N. 4. Wright J. 18. Kelly C. 7. Neufville J. 6. Power M. (C) 21. Metcalfe J. 3. Touray I. 17. Wright T. 24. Swan W. 8. Kavanagh C.
Substitutes
9. Ahadme G. 13. Ashby-Hammond T. (G) 3. Butler D. 20. Campbell C. 44. Patterson P. 8. Phillips D. 6. Sweeney D.	9. Cook A. 2. Halliday B. 25. Hilton J. (G) 32. Lapslie G. 20. Leigh T. 14. McIntyre T. 19. Richards L.
Coaches
Revell A.	Alexander G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Byrne N. ⚽, Touray I. (A),
13', Houghton J. 🟨,
18', 1 - 1, White H. ⚽,
27', Piergianni C. 🟨,
44', Touray I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Kavanagh C. 🟨,
56', Kavanagh C. ↓, Cook A. ↑,
56', Wright T. ↓, Lapslie G. ↑,
63', Freestone L. ↓, Butler D. ↑,
63', Lubala B. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
65', Wright J. 🟨,
74', Butler D. 🟨,
78', Reid J. ↓, Ahadme G. ↑,
78', White H. ↓, Phillips D. ↑,
90+2', Roberts J. ↓, Sweeney D. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 0.

Stevenage is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bradford has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Stevenage may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Stevenage: Thompson L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Bradford: Tilt C. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Bradford: Baldwin A. (Calf Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:21. (average 1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Stevenage Borough - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 39.26%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stevenage Borough
English EFL Trophy
21.10.25	Stevenage Borough - Crystal Palace U21	5:2 ✺
English League One
18.10.25	Lincoln City - Stevenage Borough	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Stevenage Borough - Bromley	2:1 ✺
English League One
04.10.25	Stevenage Borough - Luton Town	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Leyton Orient - Stevenage Borough	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWWW
- Bradford City
English League One
18.10.25	Bradford City - Barnsley	2:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
14.10.25	Bradford City - Everton U21	5:1 ✺
English League One
02.10.25	Rotherham United - Bradford City	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Bradford City - Blackpool	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
24.09.25	Newcastle United - Bradford City	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
11.02.23	Stevenage Borough - Bradford City	2:3
17.09.22	Bradford City - Stevenage Borough	3:0
08.02.22	Stevenage Borough - Bradford City	0:1
17.08.21	Bradford City - Stevenage Borough	4:1
05.04.21	Stevenage Borough - Bradford City	1:1
26.09.20	Bradford City - Stevenage Borough	2:1
11.02.20	Bradford City - Stevenage Borough	3:1

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