The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Burton Albion 25.2%
Draw 26%
Bolton Wanderers 48.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.2%
23.9%
55.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.4%
23%
58.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bolton Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burton Albion that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bolton Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
5.9%
11.8%
82.4%
Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Bolton Wanderers will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bolton Wanderers will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Collins B. (G) 2. Godwin-Malife U. (C) 26. Delap F. 16. Hartridge A. 15. Lofthouse K. 19. Williams D. 4. Chauke K. 3. Armer J. 8. Webster C. 9. Beesley J. 11. Tavares F.
1. Sharman-Lowe T. (G) 29. Christie C. 3. Forino-Joseph C. 6. Johnston G. (C) 25. Conway M. 19. Cozier-Duberry A. 16. Morley A. 4. Simons X. 20. Cissoko I. 10. Dalby S. 48. Burstow M.
Substitutes
14. Akoto N. 27. Dudek K. (G) 41. Krubally S. 7. McKiernan J. J. 39. Taroni J. 50. Williamson J.
2. Dacres-Cogley J. 24. Forss M. 45. McAtee J. 27. Miller T. (G) 14. Osei-Tutu J. 17. Randall J. 5. Taylor R.
Coaches
Bowyer G.
Schumacher S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Beesley J. (Pen),
42', Cissoko I. 🟨,
45+2', Godwin-Malife U. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Cissoko I. ↓, Forss M. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Tavares F. ⚽,
66', Christie C. ↓, Dacres-Cogley J. ↑,
66', Dalby S. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
79', Tavares F. ↓, McKiernan J. J. ↑,
80', Morley A. ↓, Randall J. ↑,
80', Conway M. ↓, Taylor R. ↑,
90+1', Williams D. ↓, Taroni J. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 0, Beesley J. ⚽, Lofthouse K. (A),
90+8', Webster C. ↓, Krubally S. ↑,
90+8', Beesley J. ↓, Williamson J. ↑,
90+9', Forss M. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 0.
Burton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Bolton is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Burton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Burton has had a series of away games.
In this match, Bolton is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Burton: Hazlehurst J.
(Ankle Injury)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Vancooten T.
(Leg Injury)
There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V.
(Knee Injury)
Forrester W.
(Hamstring Injury)
Osei-Tutu J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Burton: Evans G.
(Ankle Injury)
Newall J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Bolton: Dacres-Cogley J.
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Burton won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Burton Albion - the odds 4.61 are the expected chance of winning is 20.23%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Bolton Wanderers - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.85%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Collins B. (G) 
Chauke K. 
Armer J. 
Tavares F. 
Christie C. 
Cissoko I. 
Akoto N. 
Dudek K. (G) 
McKiernan J. J. 
Forss M. 
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