Match Info

Date: 4 October 2022, Tuesday

Location: Valley Parade (Bradford)


	Bradford City		Leicester City U21

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.2	5
	1.52	4.4	4.4
	1.49	4.3	5
	1.51	4.41	4.65
	1.51	4.33	5
	1.5	4.4	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (2.08)	4.34 ↑ (3.65)	4.83 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bradford City
60.4%

Draw
20.9%

Leicester City U21
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

24.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

23.5%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bradford City's performance.

Leicester City U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leicester City U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bradford City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City U21 than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leicester City U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.6%	3.1%	6.2%

Bradford City - Leicester City U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: Bradford City will win (29 of 32 users predict this - 90.63%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.53% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Bradford in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Leicester U21 is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bradford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bradford is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Bradford to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bradford City
English League Two
01.10.22	Harrogate Town - Bradford City	1:2 ✺
24.09.22	Bradford City - AFC Wimbledon	2:2 ✺
17.09.22	Bradford City - Stevenage Borough	3:0 ✺
13.09.22	Tranmere Rovers - Bradford City	1:2 ✺
03.09.22	Bradford City - Walsall	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTWWW
- Leicester City U21
English Premier League 2
01.10.22	Chelsea U21 - Leicester City U21	2:2 ✺
17.09.22	Leicester City U21 - Liverpool U21	0:1 ✺
03.09.22	Leicester City U21 - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	1:4 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.08.22	Burton Albion - Leicester City U21	4:2 ✺
English Premier League 2
27.08.22	Blackburn Rovers U21 - Leicester City U21	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLLLW

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