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Current Win Probability
Bradford City 41.1%
Draw 32.1%
Stevenage Borough 26.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.1%
30.6%
27.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
29.5%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bradford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
20%
20%
Bradford City - Stevenage Borough Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Bradford will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Stevenage will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bradford: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Walker S. (G) 15. Baldwin A. 4. Wright J. 26. Tilt C. 7. Neufville J. 21. Metcalfe J. 6. Power M. (C) 3. Touray I. 10. Sarcevic A. 23. Pointon B. 11. Humphrys S.
1. Marschall F. (G) 15. Goode C. 5. Piergianni C. (C) 16. Freestone L. 17. Pattenden J. 8. Phillips D. 18. White H. 11. Roberts J. 10. Kemp D. 25. Phillips M. 19. Reid J.
Substitutes
8. Evans L. 25. Hilton J. (G) 19. Jackson K. 32. Lapslie G. 14. Mullin P. 28. Pennington M. 22. Powell N.
13. Ashby-Hammond T. (G) 14. Earley S. 4. Houghton J. 30. Lubala B. 44. Patterson P. 6. Sweeney D. 23. Thompson L.
Coaches
Alexander G.
Revell A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Freestone L. ↓, Sweeney D. ↑,
18', Pointon B. ↓, Lapslie G. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 0 - 1, Kemp D. ⚽,
64', Kemp D. 🟨,
64', Tilt C. 🟨,
67', Lapslie G. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
68', Metcalfe J. ↓, Powell N. ↑,
73', Goode C. 🟨,
76', Sweeney D. 🟨,
78', Phillips M. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
78', Kemp D. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
78', Wright J. ↓, Mullin P. ↑,
88', Phillips D. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
89', Reid J. ↓, Earley S. ↑,
90+1', Touray I. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bradford won 4.
Recent performances by Bradford have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Stevenage is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Bradford will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Stevenage: Cornick H.
(Ankle Injury)
Simpson T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Bradford: Wright T.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Stevenage: Earley S.
(Inactive)
James-Wildin L.
(Inactive)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bradford won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:11. (average 2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Bradford won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 2.8:1.2).
Outrights of English League One for now
Bradford City: 8.62% Stevenage: 2.04%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Bradford City
8
5
1
2
8:5
3
16
13
Stevenage
7
2
3
2
11:8
3
9
Last Results with these Odds
Stevenage Borough - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 27.37%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.