Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 10

Date: 7 October 2024, Monday

Location: Valley Parade (Bradford)

Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
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India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Poland	Viaplay
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports+, Sky Ultra
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
World	Disney+


	Bradford City		Newport County

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	6.25	Watch
	1.44	4.75	6
	1.44	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.45	4.84	6.42
	1.49	4.3	6.27	Watch
	1.44	4.5	7
	1.44	4.7	6.33	Watch
	1.44	4.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.44)	4.67 ↑ (4.58)	6.41 ↓ (6.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bradford City
65.1%

Draw
20.2%

Newport County
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

20.5%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

19.6%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bradford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	8.8%	20.6%

Bradford City - Newport County Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Bradford will win (votes: 23 - 71.9%). Newport will win (votes: 6 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bradford: 56.3% – 87.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Walker S. (G) 39. Diabate C. 5. Byrne N. 24. Shepherd J. 27. Benn J. 7. Walker J. 6. Smallwood R. 12. Oduor C. 17. Wright T. 8. Kavanagh C. 9. Cook A.	1. Townsend N. (G) 17. Evans K. 26. Evans C. 23. Jameson K. 6. Brennan C. 3. Driscoll-Glennon A. 30. Mawene N. 24. Wildig A. (C) 8. Morris B. 7. Kamwa B. 25. Hudlin K.
Substitutes
13. Doyle C. (G) 30. Evans C. 2. Halliday B. 19. Oliver V. 23. Pointon B. 3. Richards L. 14. Smith T.	11. Antwi C. 9. Baker-Richardson C. 13. Carney J. (G) 5. Clarke J. 10. Greaves O. 31. Jephcott L. 21. Spellman M.
Coaches
Alexander G.	Jardim N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Driscoll-Glennon A. 🟨,
23', Townsend N. 🟨,
35', Byrne N. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Cook A. ⚽, Benn J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
62', Mawene N. ↓, Antwi C. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Hudlin K. ⚽, Evans K. (A),
68', Hudlin K. 🟨,
69', Oduor C. ↓, Pointon B. ↑,
69', Kavanagh C. ↓, Smith T. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Walker J. ⚽, Pointon B. (A),
76', Hudlin K. ↓, Baker-Richardson C. ↑,
82', Byrne N. ↓, Richards L. ↑,
85', 3 - 1, Pointon B. ⚽, Benn J. (A),
86', Kamwa B. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
89', Shepherd J. 🟨,
90', Walker J. ↓, Evans C. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bradford won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Bradford have a series of guest games.

In this match Bradford is absolute favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Bradford won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:10 (average 1.4:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Bradford won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bradford City
English League Two
01.10.24	Morecambe - Bradford City	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Harrogate Town - Bradford City	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Bradford City - AFC Wimbledon	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
17.09.24	Mansfield Town - Bradford City	0:3 ✺
English League Two
14.09.24	Walsall - Bradford City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLTWL
- Newport County
English League Two
01.10.24	Newport County - Salford City	3:1 ✺
28.09.24	Newport County - Crewe Alexandra	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Barrow - Newport County	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
17.09.24	Newport County - West Ham United U21	1:0 ✺
English League Two
14.09.24	Swindon Town - Newport County	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
27.04.24	Bradford City - Newport County	4:1
23.09.23	Newport County - Bradford City	1:4
11.03.23	Newport County - Bradford City	1:1
13.08.22	Bradford City - Newport County	2:0
26.03.22	Bradford City - Newport County	0:0
09.10.21	Newport County - Bradford City	0:0
09.03.21	Newport County - Bradford City	2:1

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