The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barrow 33.1%
Draw 28%
Newport County 38.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.1%
27.3%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
27.2%
33.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barrow's form might have worsened.
Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newport County's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barrow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newport County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
Barrow - Newport County Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Barrett K. (G) 8. Smith S. 5. Raglan C. 2. MacDonald A. 7. Jackson B. 45. Harper R. 4. Williams M. (C) 14. McCann C. 25. Gordon J. 15. Hemmings K. 33. Rose D.
28. Wright J. (G) 12. Thomas J. 6. Brennan C. 4. Baker M. (C) 20. Lloyd B. 5. Sprangler S. 2. Evans C. 7. Kamwa B. 10. Biggins H. 16. Crole J. 40. Jarvis C.
Substitutes
22. Anderson J. 20. Fletcher I. 16. Foley S. 19. Malcolm J. 11. Newby E. 34. Whitfield B.
17. Davies T. 23. Delaney R. 13. MacDonald S. (G) 36. Pugh H. 18. Shephard L. 8. Smith M. 21. Spellman M.
Coaches
Foley S.
Fuchs Ch.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, McCann C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Jarvis C. ↓, Davies T. ↑,
48', Gordon J. (Penalty Awarded),
61', McCann C. 🟨,
66', Hemmings K. ↓, Newby E. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Davies T. ⚽, Crole J. (A),
77', Gordon J. ↓, Fletcher I. ↑,
77', Jackson B. ↓, Anderson J. ↑,
80', Anderson J. 🟨,
83', 1 - 2, Kamwa B. ⚽, Sprangler S. (A),
84', Kamwa B. 🟨,
85', Rose D. ↓, Whitfield B. ↑,
85', Raglan C. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
87', Lloyd B. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
90+5', Kamwa B. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 21).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 2.
Barrow is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Newport has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Barrow: Anderson F.
(Injury)
Canavan N.
(Inactive)
Walker T.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Barrow: Earing J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Newport: Baker-Richardson C.
(Inactive)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).