Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: The Mazuma Stadium (Morecambe)


	Morecambe		Bradford City

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.6	1.95
	3.8	3.6	1.93
	3.6	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.97	3.62	1.95
	3.87	3.53	1.91	Watch
	3.8	3.6	1.95
	3.82	3.7	1.92	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↓ (4.55)	3.61 ↓ (3.78)	1.94 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morecambe
25%

Draw
26.2%

Bradford City
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

24.9%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

24.5%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Bradford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bradford City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bradford City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Morecambe - Bradford City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Burgoyne H. (G) 2. Hendrie L. 14. Williams R. 6. Stott J. 3. Lewis A. 24. Songo'o Y. (C) 4. White T. 18. Tollitt B. 8. Macadam H. 11. Slew J. 9. Hope H.	1. Walker S. (G) 5. Byrne N. 20. Huntington P. 24. Shepherd J. 27. Benn J. 7. Walker J. 6. Smallwood R. (C) 23. Pointon B. 2. Halliday B. 21. Sanderson O. 9. Cook A.
Substitutes
20. Brown C. 19. Dackers M. 12. Harrack K. 17. Lewis P. 22. Millen R. 21. Scales A. (G) 5. Taylor M. 23. Tutonda D.	15. Baldwin A. 39. Diabate C. 13. Doyle C. (G) 30. Evans C. 8. Kavanagh C. 12. Oduor C. 19. Oliver V. 16. Pattison A. 3. Richards L.
Coaches
Adams D.	Alexander G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Benn J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Hope H. ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
71', Walker J. ↓, Pattison A. ↑,
71', Sanderson O. ↓, Kavanagh C. ↑,
71', Pointon B. ↓, Oduor C. ↑,
77', Byrne N. 🟥,
81', 1 - 0, Slew J. ⚽, Hendrie L. (A),
85', Macadam H. ↓, Lewis P. ↑,
87', Halliday B. ↓, Richards L. ↑,
87', Smallwood R. ↓, Oliver V. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 2.

Recent matches Morecambe is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bradford is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Morecambe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bradford is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:14 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:6 (average 1.4:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morecambe
English League Two
23.11.24	Swindon Town - Morecambe	2:3 ✺
16.11.24	Morecambe - Port Vale	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Morecambe - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
English League Two
09.11.24	Harrogate Town - Morecambe	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Worthing - Morecambe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLLWW
- Bradford City
English EFL Trophy
19.11.24	Bradford City - Rotherham United	0:1 ✺
English League Two
16.11.24	Colchester United - Bradford City	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Fleetwood Town - Bradford City	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Bradford City - Aldershot Town	3:1 ✺
English League Two
26.10.24	Bradford City - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
01.10.24	Morecambe - Bradford City	1:1
26.12.23	Bradford City - Morecambe	2:2
19.08.23	Morecambe - Bradford City	3:0
08.05.21	Morecambe - Bradford City	2:0
16.02.21	Bradford City - Morecambe	2:1
01.01.20	Bradford City - Morecambe	1:0
12.10.19	Morecambe - Bradford City	1:2

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