Match Info

League Two - Round 4

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Rodney Parade (Newport)

Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Newport County		Salford City

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.8	1.91	Watch
	3.75	3.6	1.87
	3.55	3.7	1.92	Watch
	3.58	3.79	1.99
	3.33	3.32	2.11	Watch
	3.75	3.6	1.85
	3.44	3.84	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↓ (3.65)	3.66 ↓ (3.75)	1.94 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newport County
26.4%

Draw
25.5%

Salford City
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

25.1%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

24.7%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.6%	3.1%	81.2%

Newport County - Salford City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Salford City will win (26 of 31 users predict this - 83.87%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.92% – 96.82%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Salford City will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tzanev N. (G) 22. Ogunneye H. 4. Baker M. 5. Clarke J. (C) 15. Jenkins L. 17. Davies T. 2. Evans C. 8. Smith M. 20. Lloyd B. 23. Reindorf M. 7. Kamwa B.	1. Young M. (G) 6. Turton O. 22. Oluwo A. 29. Garbutt L. (C) 45. Longelo-Mbule R. 7. Woodburn B. 8. Grant J. 17. Austerfield J. 14. Harris K. 21. Cesay K. 9. Stockton C.
Substitutes
27. Alexander-Walker M. 11. Antwi C. 9. Baker-Richardson C. 3. Driscoll-Glennon A. 21. Spellman M. 12. Thomas J. 28. Wright J. (G)	2. Ayina L. 11. Bird J. 34. Butt R. 32. Curran-Nichols J. 12. Edwards T. 33. Howard M. (G) 30. Malcolm K.
Coaches
Hughes D.	Robinson K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, Oluwo A. ⚽, Woodburn B. (A),
53', Harris K. 🟨,
65', Lloyd B. ↓, Antwi C. ↑,
67', Clarke J. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
69', Stockton C. ↓, Bird J. ↑,
75', Evans C. ↓, Baker-Richardson C. ↑,
80', Oluwo A. 🟨,
83', Bird J. 🟨,
83', Longelo-Mbule R. ↓, Edwards T. ↑,
90+2', Kamwa B. ↓, Alexander-Walker M. ↑,
90+3', Smith M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Salford has had a series of home games.

In this match, Salford is a strong favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Newport won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport County
English League Two
16.08.25	Grimsby Town - Newport County	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Newport County - Millwall	0:1 ✺
English League Two
09.08.25	Crawley Town - Newport County	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Newport County - Notts County	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
29.07.25	Barnet - Newport County	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 LLWTW
- Salford City
English League Two
16.08.25	Salford City - Accrington Stanley	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Salford City - Rotherham United	0:1 penalties ✺
English League Two
09.08.25	Notts County - Salford City	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Salford City - Crewe Alexandra	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.25	Salford City - Stockport County	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
28.01.25	Salford City - Newport County	1:1
01.10.24	Newport County - Salford City	3:1
20.04.24	Newport County - Salford City	0:1
30.09.23	Salford City - Newport County	2:1
04.03.23	Salford City - Newport County	3:1
16.08.22	Newport County - Salford City	2:3
08.01.22	Newport County - Salford City	0:2

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