Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 23 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Braga (Braga)

Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Ring
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 1
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	CMore Live
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Braga		Panathinaikos

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	5.5
	1.66	3.6	5.5
	1.65	3.55	5.8
	1.67	3.6	5.5
	1.63	3.71	6.49
	1.57	3.4	5
	1.63	3.74	5.65
	1.68	3.7	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.75)	3.6 ↑ (3.58)	5.66 ↑ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Network on TV: TUDNxtra 2

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Current Win Probability

Braga
57.2%

Draw
26.1%

Panathinaikos
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

26.2%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

25.4%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.8%	2.8%	1.4%

Braga - Panathinaikos Predictions

Users Predictions: Braga will win (68 of 71 users predict this - 95.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 91.09% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Magalhaes (G) 2. Gomez V. 6. Fonte J. 4. Niakate S. 19. Marin A. 8. Al Musrati 22. Pizzi 18. Vitor Carvalho 21. Horta R. (C) 9. Ruiz A. 7. Bruma	91. Brignoli A. (G) 2. Vagiannidis G. 21. Jedvaj T. 23. Magnusson H. 3. Juankar 4. Perez R. (C) 31. Djuricic F. 52. Vilhena T. 34. Palacios S. 9. Sporar A. 17. Mancini D.
Substitutes
23. Banza S. 88. Castro A. 14. Djalo A. 91. Hornicek L. (G) 10. Horta A. 17. Mendes J. 15. Oliveira P. 20. Rony Lopes 5. Saatci S. 12. Sa T. (G) 90. Soumare E. H. 16. Zalazar R.	55. Arao W. 10. Bernard 22. Cantalapiedra A. 16. Gnezda Cerin A. 7. Ioannidis F. 27. Kotsiras G. 12. Lodygin Y. (G) 25. Mladenovic F. 5. Schenkeveld B. 24. Sideras G. 77. Verbic B. 15. Xenopoulos V. (G)
Coaches
Artur Jorge	Jovanovic I.

Preview

1st leg.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Braga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Braga is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Braga to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
19.08.23	Chaves - Braga	2:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.08.23	Bačka Topola - Braga	1:4 ✺
Liga Portugal
11.08.23	Braga - Famalicão	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.08.23	Braga - Bačka Topola	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Braga - Nice	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWW
- Panathinaikos FC
UEFA Champions League
15.08.23	Olympique Marseille - Panathinaikos	2:2 penalties ✺
09.08.23	Panathinaikos - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
01.08.23	Panathinaikos - Dnipro-1	2:2 ✺
25.07.23	Dnipro-1 - Panathinaikos	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.23	Panathinaikos - Rayo Vallecano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 WWTWL

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