Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 2

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Chaves (Chaves)

Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Chaves		Braga

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.33	1.5	Watch
	6	4.2	1.5	Watch
	5	4.3	1.54
	5.98	4.61	1.54
	5.5	4	1.44	Watch
	6	4.45	1.51	Watch
	6	4.5	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.75 ↑ (5.48)	4.34 ↑ (4.03)	1.51 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chaves
16.3%

Draw
21.6%

Braga
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17%

23.1%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5%

22.4%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13%	8.7%	78.3%

Chaves - Braga Predictions

Users Predictions: Braga will win (18 of 23 users predict this - 78.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 61.4% – 95.12%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hugo Souza (G) 77. Araujo Correia J. P. (C) 4. Bruno Rodrigues 3. Ygor Nogueira 33. Cruz S. 7. Bernardo Sousa 18. Pinho P. 28. Nwakali K. 11. Abass I. 23. Hernandez H. 9. Paulo Victor	1. Matheus Magalhaes (G) 2. Gomez V. 6. Fonte J. 4. Niakate S. 19. Marin A. 8. Al Musrati 18. Vitor Carvalho 21. Horta R. (C) 16. Zalazar R. 7. Bruma 9. Ruiz A.
Substitutes
72. Ferreira de Oliveira G. 21. Guimaraes R. 87. Melro R. 31. Moura R. (G) 8. Pedro J. 44. Queiros J. 10. Sanca L. 2. Sylla H. 19. Vitoria S.	23. Banza S. 88. Castro A. 14. Djalo A. 91. Hornicek L. (G) 10. Horta A. 17. Mendes J. 22. Pizzi 20. Rony Lopes 5. Saatci S.
Coaches
Gomes J. M.	Artur Jorge

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chaves won 1.

Chaves is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Braga is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Braga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Braga have a series of home games.

In this match Braga is a favorite.

There will not play in Chaves: Euller (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Chaves won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 4-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Chaves won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportivo Chaves
Liga Portugal
13.08.23	Rio Ave - Chaves	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.23	Chaves - Famalicão	0:1 ✺
01.08.23	Chaves - Feirense	4:2 ✺
25.07.23	Santa Clara - Chaves	2:0
Portuguese League Cup
22.07.23	AVS - Chaves	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL
- SC Braga
UEFA Champions League
15.08.23	Bačka Topola - Braga	1:4 ✺
Liga Portugal
11.08.23	Braga - Famalicão	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.08.23	Braga - Bačka Topola	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Braga - Nice	2:0 ✺
26.07.23	Braga - Roma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
02.04.23	Chaves - Braga	1:2
09.10.22	Braga - Chaves	0:1
10.02.19	Braga - Chaves	2:1
31.08.18	Chaves - Braga	0:1
Club Friendly
26.07.18	Chaves - Braga	0:1
Liga Portugal
18.03.18	Chaves - Braga	1:4
29.10.17	Braga - Chaves	1:0

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