Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 14

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Braga B		Atlético CP

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	5.75
	1.45	4.33	5.5
	1.46	4.25	6.73
	1.47	4.19	6.71
	1.46	4.06	6.67
	1.46	3.95	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.48)	4.13 ↑ (4.07)	6.19 ↓ (6.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braga B
63%

Draw
22.2%

Atlético CP
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

22.8%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

22%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Atlético CP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga B than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Braga B - Atlético CP Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bernardo (G) 63. Beirao R. 55. Chissumba 61. Eiro 75. Jean-Marie M. 46. Junior M. 66. Moreira V. (C) 59. Said Y. 90. Soumare E. H. 80. Vasconcelos 73. Ze Pedro	70. Pinhao N. (G) 23. Almeida B. 9. Balotelli 26. Freitas J. 19. Martins T. 21. Morgado T. 77. Pala F. 31. Paulinho 10. Santos D. 17. Silva D. 24. Ventosa H.
Substitutes
68. Cunha N. 60. Dias G. (G) 72. Ferreira A. 99. Kauan Kelvin 40. Matos J. 86. Rei R. 50. Rodrigues D. 97. Rodrigues D. 58. Vilela M.	11. Castillo D. 20. Daniel Almeida 80. Horta Leitao D. 3. Jesus J. 1. Lemos F. (G) 95. Marcelo P. 88. Pinto P. 48. Pipas Filipe 7. Rosario T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Eiro 🟨,
45+2', Jean-Marie M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Jean-Marie M. ↓, Rei R. ↑,
63', Eiro ↓, Ferreira A. ↑,
67', Martins T. ↓, Pinto P. ↑,
69', Paulinho 🟨,
75', Vasconcelos 🟨,
75', Santos D. 🟨,
76', Vasconcelos ↓, Kauan Kelvin ↑,
76', Moreira V. ↓, Cunha N. ↑,
82', Silva D. ↓, Marcelo P. ↑,
82', Paulinho ↓, Castillo D. ↑,
84', 🟨,
84', Junior M. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
86', Ze Pedro 🟨,
90', Morgado T. 🟨,
90', Cunha N. 🟨,
90+3', Pinto P. 🟨,
90+6', Santos D. ↓, Horta Leitao D. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Braga B won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Braga B is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Braga B won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Braga B won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braga B
Portuguese Liga 3
12.05.24	Felgueiras - Braga B	1:1 ✺
04.05.24	Lusitânia - Braga B	3:2 ✺
28.04.24	Braga B - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Covilhã - Braga B	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Braga B - Varzim	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TLTWW
- Atlético CP
Portuguese Liga 3
12.05.24	Atlético CP - Lusitânia	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Académica Coimbra - Atlético CP	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Atlético CP - Covilhã	1:2 ✺
20.04.24	Varzim - Atlético CP	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Atlético CP - Alverca	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
31.03.24	Atlético CP - Braga B	0:2
Portuguese Liga 2
10.04.16	Atlético CP - Braga B	1:2
29.11.15	Braga B - Atlético CP	0:0
01.03.15	Atlético CP - Braga B	1:1
21.09.14	Braga B - Atlético CP	4:2
02.03.14	Atlético CP - Braga B	1:0
23.10.13	Braga B - Atlético CP	2:1

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