Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 13

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Felgueiras		Braga B

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	4.6
	1.62	3.75	4.5
	1.54	4.12	5.39
	1.58	4.07	5.17
	1.58	3.96	5.17
	1.55	3.9	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.52)	3.93 ↓ (4.09)	4.94 ↓ (5.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felgueiras
58.2%

Draw
23.2%

Braga B
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

22.8%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

22.1%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felgueiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Braga B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Felgueiras, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga B than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Pinto B. (G) 29. Banguera E. 9. Carlos Eduardo 21. Cassio L. 30. Feliz 7. Ktatau 8. Landinho 18. Pereira G. 11. Pereira M. 23. Ribeiro Sousa Peixoto R. P. (C) 34. Silva A.	31. Bernardo (G) 63. Beirao R. 55. Chissumba 61. Eiro 75. Jean-Marie M. 46. Junior M. 66. Moreira V. (C) 59. Said Y. 90. Soumare E. H. 80. Vasconcelos 73. Ze Pedro

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', 🟨,
23', Bernardo 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Santos J. ↑,
46', Ktatau 🟨,
58', Feliz ↓, Bruninho ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Chissumba ⚽,
68', Pereira G. ↓, Ca L. ↑,
68', Cassio L. ↓, Moura M. ↑,
74', Jean-Marie M. ↓, Rei R. ↑,
78', Pereira M. ↓, Takahashi K. ↑,
81', Vasconcelos ↓, Kauan Kelvin ↑,
86', Beirao R. 🟨,
87', 1 - 1, Santos J. ⚽,
89', 🟨,
90', Said Y. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
90', Eiro ↓, Ferreira A. ↑,
90', Beirao R. ↓, Matos J. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Felgueiras won 2.

Felgueiras is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Braga B is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Felgueiras is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Felgueiras to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Felgueiras won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Felgueiras won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 3
04.05.24	Varzim - Felgueiras	2:3 ✺
28.04.24	Felgueiras - Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Alverca - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Académica Coimbra - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Felgueiras - Atlético CP	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWTTW
- Braga B
Portuguese Liga 3
04.05.24	Lusitânia - Braga B	3:2 ✺
28.04.24	Braga B - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Covilhã - Braga B	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Braga B - Varzim	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Alverca - Braga B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
17.03.24	Braga B - Felgueiras	2:1
12.01.24	Braga B - Felgueiras	3:3
29.09.23	Felgueiras - Braga B	1:0
22.04.23	Braga B - Felgueiras	1:0
02.04.23	Felgueiras - Braga B	2:0
17.02.23	Felgueiras - Braga B	1:3
06.11.22	Braga B - Felgueiras	1:1

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