Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Round 14

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio 1.º de Maio (Braga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Braga B		Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.6
	2.48	3.1	2.7
	2.62	3.1	2.91
	2.6	3.03	2.85	Watch
	2.62	3.2	2.38
	2.47	3	2.69
	2.48	3.1	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.79)	3.08 ↓ (3.09)	2.69 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braga B
36.2%

Draw
29.7%

Lusitânia
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

29.8%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

29.3%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga B than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Braga B - Lusitânia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
66. Dias G. (G) 62. Matos N. 40. Matos J. 55. Chissumba F. E. 63. Beirao R. 41. da Rocha Y. 50. Rodrigues D. 73. Ze Pedro 80. Vasconcelos J. 59. Said Y. 64. Rei R.	1. Cioletti G. (G) 85. Castro D. 4. Collard D. 22. Faria B. 29. Cerveira T. 6. Martins H. 8. Tokinho Doria 18. Pereira D. 11. Pereira M. 21. Joao Vasco 7. Avto
Substitutes
54. Barbosa G. 65. Dias L. 72. Ferreira A. 79. Furtado R. 99. Kauan Kelvin 98. Machado G. (G) 70. Mordomo R. 85. Nanque E. 53. Noro J.	20. Faria R. 77. Goba Zakpa 28. Mesquita T. 5. Oliveira J. 80. Renato Luis 10. Ribeiro S. 41. Ricardo M. (G) 3. Silverio 88. Teixeira M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
62', Rei R. ↓, Kauan Kelvin ↑,
62', Matos N. ↓, Ferreira A. ↑,
70', Joao Vasco ↓, Renato Luis ↑,
70', Avto ↓, Goba Zakpa ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Renato Luis ⚽,
73', 🟨,
77', Renato Luis 🟨,
78', Matos J. ↓, Furtado R. ↑,
85', Pereira D. 🟨,
85', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90', Faria B. 🟥,
90+6', 1 - 1, Said Y. ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 2, Goba Zakpa ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 6 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Braga B won 1.

Recent matches Braga B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lusitânia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Braga B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Braga B won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:15 (average 1.6:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Braga B won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braga B
Portuguese Liga 3
07.12.24	Varzim - Braga B	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Braga B - Anadia	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Braga B - Trofense	0:0 ✺
10.11.24	São João de Ver - Braga B	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Braga B - Sanjoanense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWTTT
- Lusitânia FC
Portuguese Liga 3
07.12.24	Fafe - Lusitânia	1:2 ✺
30.11.24	Lusitânia - Varzim	0:0 ✺
10.11.24	Anadia - Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
01.11.24	Lusitânia - São João de Ver	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Lusitânia - Trofense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
31.08.24	Lusitânia - Braga B	1:2
04.05.24	Lusitânia - Braga B	3:2
10.03.24	Braga B - Lusitânia	2:2
12.11.23	Lusitânia - Braga B	5:0
12.08.23	Braga B - Lusitânia	0:1
25.02.22	Lusitânia - Braga B	2:3
04.12.21	Braga B - Lusitânia	2:1

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