Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Round 9

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Lusitânia de Lourosa (Lourosa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Lusitânia		Trofense

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	3.9
	1.8	3.5	4.2
	1.83	3.49	4.51
	1.87	3.44	4.16	Watch
	1.78	3.34	4.22
	1.8	3.5	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.76)	3.43 ↓ (3.51)	4.2 ↓ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitânia
51.1%

Draw
26.9%

Trofense
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

26.6%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

27%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Lusitânia - Trofense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lusitânia will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Trofense will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cioletti G. (G) 2. Nhayson 4. Collard D. 14. Valente M. (C) 5. Oliveira J. 6. Martins H. 8. Tokinho Doria 80. Renato Luis 11. Pereira M. 77. Goba Zakpa 10. Ribeiro S.	1. Silva N. (C) 4. Semeu 44. Saldanha F. 5. Cunha G. 89. Nuninho 18. Diagne O. 27. Duarte D. 55. Tiago Andre 84. Ayiah E. 9. Barbosa N. 98. Carlos Daniel

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Ribeiro S. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Tiago Andre 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, Ayiah E. ⚽,
62', Renato Luis ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
62', Ribeiro S. ↓, Joao Vasco ↑,
63', Valente M. 🟨,
72', Tiago Andre ↓, Santos W. ↑,
72', Carlos Daniel ↓, Paciencia V. ↑,
72', Diagne O. ↓, Joel ↑,
81', Martins H. ↓, Castro D. ↑,
81', Nhayson ↓, Villela L. ↑,
86', Ayiah E. ↓, Viana D. ↑,
86', Barbosa N. ↓, Ramalho A. ↑,
87', Santos W. 🟨,
89', Pereira M. ↓, Faria R. ↑,
90+4', Faria R. 🟨,
90+6', Pereira D. 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

Recent matches Lusitânia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Trofense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lusitânia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lusitânia is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lusitânia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Lusitânia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitânia FC
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	Chaves - Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
06.10.24	Sanjoanense - Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Lusitânia - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Lusitânia - Vizela	4:3 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
14.09.24	Amarante - Lusitânia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTWWL
- CD Trofense
Portuguese Liga 3
06.10.24	Trofense - Varzim	3:2 ✺
28.09.24	Anadia - Trofense	4:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Belenenses - Trofense	3:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
15.09.24	Trofense - São João de Ver	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Fafe - Trofense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
06.01.24	Trofense - Lusitânia	1:3
16.09.23	Lusitânia - Trofense	1:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.01.20	Trofense - Lusitânia	0:0

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