Match Info

Date: 11 February 2022, Friday


	Braga B		Pevidem

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.2	6	Watch
	1.33	5	6
	1.38	4.2	6.8
	1.46	4.04	7.57
	1.42	4.25	6.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.34)	4.34 ↓ (5)	6.62 ↑ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braga B
65.2%

Draw
21.1%

Pevidem
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

18.1%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

77%

15.8%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Pevidem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga B than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Braga B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pevidem than the current prediction. (-1%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group) and 12 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

Pevidem is Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

Recent matches Braga B is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pevidem has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Braga B is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Braga B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Braga B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braga B
Portuguese Liga 3
06.02.22	Sanjoanense - Braga B	1:1 ✺
29.01.22	Braga B - Felgueiras	3:1 ✺
23.01.22	Montalegre - Braga B	1:1 ✺
16.01.22	Braga B - Canelas	0:1 ✺
09.01.22	Vitoria Guimarães B - Braga B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWTLL
- GD Pevidem
Portuguese Liga 3
06.02.22	Pevidem - Felgueiras	0:2 ✺
30.01.22	Canelas - Pevidem	1:0 ✺
22.01.22	Pevidem - Fafe	1:2 ✺
16.01.22	São João de Ver - Pevidem	0:0 ✺
18.12.21	Sanjoanense - Pevidem	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
07.11.21	Pevidem - Braga B	0:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.05.21	Braga B - Pevidem	0:1
24.04.21	Pevidem - Braga B	2:1

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