Match Info

Superettan - Round 26

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Domnarvsvallen (Borlange)

Referee: Alknas F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 7, TV4 Play


	Brage		Kalmar

	1	X	2
	5	4.2	1.57
	4.33	3.7	1.68
	5.15	4.15	1.58
	5.3	4.26	1.59
	5.08	4.05	1.59	Watch
	4.6	3.9	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.91 ↑ (4.32)	4.04 ↓ (4.05)	1.61 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brage
19%

Draw
23%

Kalmar
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

23.2%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

22.9%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brage has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Kalmar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brage than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Brage - Kalmar Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Brage will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Kalmar will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kalmar: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kalmar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Engdahl A. (G) 21. Ostberg N. 2. Zetterstrom A. (C) 3. Walemark T. 4. Persson M. 10. Berggren G. 8. Stensson J. 19. Brkic H. 20. Nordh G. 9. Trpcevski F. 33. Muhsin A.	30. Kindberg J. (G) 4. Jansson R. 39. Saetra L. 47. Keita A. 33. Mamatsashvili S. 26. Motaraghebjafarpour A. 23. R. Gojani 5. Hallberg M. (C) 37. Kalinauskas T. 10. Jebara C. 9. Stolt M.
Substitutes
12. Astrand John N. 17. Jonsson P. 5. Konjuhi L. 6. Larsen M. 11. Lundin A. 30. Markusson Kurula E. (G) 15. Stark O.	32. Andersson C. (G) 70. Chukwuemeka Emeka 17. Gustafsson C. 11. Olusanya A. 6. Sjostedt R. 20. Sosseh G. 19. Ylatupa S.
Coaches
Mian J.	Koskela T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', Walemark T. 🟨,
3', 0 - 1, Kalinauskas T. (Pen),
28', Jebara C. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Walemark T. ⚽, Brkic H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Motaraghebjafarpour A. ↓, Gustafsson C. ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Gustafsson C. ⚽,
50', 1 - 3, Hallberg M. ⚽,
50', Kalinauskas T. ↓, Sosseh G. ↑,
64', Nordh G. ↓, Lundin A. ↑,
64', Stolt M. ↓, Chukwuemeka Emeka ↑,
64', Ostberg N. ↓, Jonsson P. ↑,
68', Lundin A. 🟨,
83', Mamatsashvili S. 🟨,
83', Mamatsashvili S. ↓, Sjostedt R. ↑,
83', Jebara C. ↓, Ylatupa S. ↑,
85', Ylatupa S. 🟨,
88', Stensson J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan).

Brage is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kalmar is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Kalmar is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brage won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).

Including home match between the teams, Brage won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Brage
Swedish Superettan
29.09.25	Utsikten - Brage	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Brage - Sundsvall	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Brage - Örebro	4:5 ✺
13.09.25	Oddevold - Brage	4:0 ✺
31.08.25	Brage - Trelleborg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW
- Kalmar FF
Swedish Superettan
30.09.25	Kalmar - Örebro	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Landskrona - Kalmar	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Kalmar - Sandviken	4:0 ✺
14.09.25	Kalmar - Västerås SK	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Östersund - Kalmar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
20.07.25	Kalmar - Brage	2:2
Svenska Cupen
28.02.21	Kalmar - Brage	1:0
Swedish Allsvenskan
10.11.19	Kalmar - Brage	2:2
06.11.19	Brage - Kalmar	0:2
Svenska Cupen
10.03.13	Kalmar - Brage	3:0

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