Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 31 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Brann Stadion (Bergen)

Referee: Bogar G. (Hun)


	Brann		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	2.2	Watch
				Watch
	2.95	3.45	2.3
	2.9	3.6	2.22
	3.07	3.56	2.28
	2.96	3.76	2.19	Watch
	3.05	3.7	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.08)	3.6 ↑ (3.3)	2.24 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brann
31.5%

Draw
26.3%

AZ Alkmaar
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

28%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

27.2%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brann than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.5%	8.8%	64.7%

Brann - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Brann will win (votes: 9 - 26.5%). AZ will win (votes: 22 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 48.6% – 80.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dyngeland M. (G) 13. Crone S. 3. Knudsen F. 21. Kristiansen R. 23. Pedersen T. 8. Myhre F. 19. Nilsen S. (C) 18. Kartum S. 10. Borsting F. 11. Finne B. 9. Castro N.	1. Ryan M. (G) 2. Sugawara Y. 25. Bazoer R. 3. Chatzidiakos P. (C) 18. Wolfe D. 16. Mijnans S. 10. de Wit D. 28. Goudmijn K. 23. Lahdo M. 9. Pavlidis V. 15. van Bommel R.
Substitutes
40. Fauske Helland E. 20. Heggebo A. 12. Johansen E. (G) 14. Mathisen U. 6. Sery Larsen J. 22. Simba M. 17. Soltvedt J. 35. Torsvik J.	6. Dantas T. 31. Deen D. (G) 22. Dekker M. 34. de Wit M. 30. Kasius D. 44. Kwakman D. 14. Mihailovic D. 7. Odgaard J. 5. Penetra 21. Poku E. 19. van Brederode M. 12. Verhulst H. (G)
Coaches
Horneland E.	Jansen P.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Brann is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

AZ is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Brann won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SK Brann
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.08.23	AZ Alkmaar - Brann	1:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
20.08.23	Brann - Aalesunds	5:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	Brann - Arouca	3:1 ✺
10.08.23	Arouca - Brann	2:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
06.08.23	Hamarkameratene - Brann	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWWLW
- AZ Alkmaar
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.08.23	AZ Alkmaar - Brann	1:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
20.08.23	Waalwijk - AZ Alkmaar	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	AZ Alkmaar - FC Santa Coloma	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
13.08.23	AZ Alkmaar - Go Ahead Eagles	5:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	FC Santa Coloma - AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
24.08.23	AZ Alkmaar - Brann	1:1

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