Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: AFAS Stadion (Alkmaar)

Referee: Bos A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
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Brazil	Disney+
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	SportKlub 9
Germany	Laola1, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	ESPN
Peru	Disney+
Russia	TV Start
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
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United-arab-emirates	Dubai Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	AZ Alkmaar		Go Ahead Eagles

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.50	8.50	Watch
	1.35	5.75	7.25
	1.32	5.50	7.50
	1.36	5.70	8.16
	1.38	5.53	6.91	Watch
	1.34	5.60	8.00
	1.36	5.60	8.65	Watch
	1.33	5.80	7.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.5)	5.62 ↑ (4.33)	7.8 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AZ Alkmaar
70.8%

Draw
17%

Go Ahead Eagles
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

21.4%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

20.3%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AZ Alkmaar's performance.

Go Ahead Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AZ Alkmaar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

AZ Alkmaar - Go Ahead Eagles Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. AZ (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: AZ Alkmaar will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. De Busser J. (G) 22. Dijkstra E. 3. Goes W. 4. Schouten L. 5. Chavez Garcia M. 21. Kwakman D. 6. Koopmeiners P. (C) 7. Weslley Patati 10. Smit K. 11. Daal R. 9. Meerdink M.	1. Haug K. (G) 2. Sampsted A. 26. Dirksen J. 4. Kramer J. (C) 5. James D. 8. Linthorst E. 21. Meulensteen M. 10. Tengstedt S. 16. Edvardsen V. 17. Suray M. 29. Flataker E.
Substitutes
8. Clasie J. 75. de Wit H. 34. de Wit M. 19. Hornkamp J. 31. Ichihara R. 71. Ka I. (G) 45. Kovacs B. 2. Maikuma S. 20. Natali A. 24. Oufkir A. 1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 14. Stengs C.	23. Baeten T. 32. Boakye O. 30. Hulleman T. (G) 6. Jukic T. 35. Lantveld T. 18. Margaret R. 34. Salah Rahmouni Y. 9. Sigurdarson S. I. 11. Sivertsen O. 31. Tijman D. 33. Verdoni N. (G) 20. Waayers E.
Coaches
Echteld L.	Oosting J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Kwakman D. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Edvardsen V. ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, Daal R. ⚽, Kwakman D. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Flataker E. ↓, Sigurdarson S. I. ↑,
49', 3 - 1, Schouten L. ⚽, Chavez Garcia M. (A),
59', Sampsted A. ↓, Waayers E. ↑,
59', Edvardsen V. ↓, Margaret R. ↑,
64', Kwakman D. ↓, Clasie J. ↑,
64', Weslley Patati ↓, Stengs C. ↑,
68', 4 - 1, Chavez Garcia M. ⚽,
69', Tengstedt S. ↓, Baeten T. ↑,
77', Smit K. ↓, Oufkir A. ↑,
77', Dijkstra E. ↓, Maikuma S. ↑,
77', James D. ↓, Sivertsen O. ↑,
83', Chavez Garcia M. ↓, de Wit M. ↑,
86', 5 - 1, Daal R. ⚽, Stengs C. (A),
90+3', 5 - 2, Suray M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ won 1.

Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.

In this match, AZ is the clear favorite.

We predict that AZ will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, AZ won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 44:17. (average 2.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, AZ won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:9. (average 2.7:1).

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

AZ Alkmaar: 4.19% G.A. Eagles: 0.28%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	1	1	18:8	10	19
9	G.A. Eagles	8	2	5	1	19:17	2	11

Last Results with these Odds

AZ Alkmaar - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 61.76%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
22.08.26	Fortuna Sittard - AZ Alkmaar	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Utrecht - AZ Alkmaar	1:4 ✺
08.08.26	AZ Alkmaar - ADO Den Haag	2:0 ✺
Dutch Super Cup
02.08.26	PSV Eindhoven - AZ Alkmaar	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	AZ Alkmaar - Olympiacos Piraeus	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WWWWW
- Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch Eredivisie
23.08.26	Go Ahead Eagles - ADO Den Haag	3:1 ✺
16.08.26	Feyenoord - Go Ahead Eagles	2:2 ✺
08.08.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Willem II	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Luton Town - Go Ahead Eagles	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Go Ahead Eagles - OFI	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
23.04.26	Go Ahead Eagles - AZ Alkmaar	0:0
07.12.25	AZ Alkmaar - Go Ahead Eagles	2:2
04.05.25	Go Ahead Eagles - AZ Alkmaar	0:3
Dutch KNVB Beker
21.04.25	AZ Alkmaar - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2 penalties
Dutch Eredivisie
27.10.24	AZ Alkmaar - Go Ahead Eagles	2:2
12.05.24	Go Ahead Eagles - AZ Alkmaar	0:3
13.08.23	AZ Alkmaar - Go Ahead Eagles	5:1

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