The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Waalwijk 12.6%
Draw 19.9%
AZ Alkmaar 67.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.5%
21.5%
60%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.9%
20.8%
62.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Waalwijk's form might have worsened.
AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AZ Alkmaar's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Waalwijk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
10.7%
89.3%
Waalwijk - AZ Alkmaar Predictions
Users Predictions:
AZ Alkmaar will win
(24 of 27 users predict this - 88.89%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.04% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Houwen J. (G) 2. Lelieveld J. 17. van Eijma R. 3. Van den Buijs D. 28. Meijers A. (C) 24. Roemeratoe G. 30. Weidmann D. 7. Cleonise D. 10. Niemeijer R. 14. Lokesa C. 19. Margaret R.
1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 16. Maikuma S. 3. Goes W. 5. Penetra 18. Wolfe D. M. 8. Clasie J. (C) 6. Koopmeiners P. 11. Sadiq I. 10. Mijnans S. 7. van Bommel R. 9. Parrott T.
Substitutes
5. Familia-Castillo J. 11. Jakobsen A. 13. Kesting J. (G) 29. Kramer M. 20. Takidine I. 22. van de Loo T. 4. Van Gelderen L. 21. van Osch Y. (G) 8. Vroegh P.
17. Addai J. 25. Bazoer R. 14. Belic K. 27. Buurmeester Z. 31. Deen D. (G) 30. Kasius D. 35. Meerdink M. 26. Smit K. 12. Verhulst H. (G)
Coaches
Fraser H.
Martens M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
21', Niemeijer R. 🟨,
26', Weidmann D. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, van Bommel R. ⚽, Sadiq I. (A),
36', 0 - 2, van Bommel R. ⚽, Clasie J. (A),
44', Van den Buijs D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cleonise D. ↓, Kramer M. ↑,
46', Lelieveld J. ↓, Van Gelderen L. ↑,
46', Kramer M. 🟨,
46', Goes W. 🟨,
73', Kramer M. 🟥,
74', Weidmann D. ↓, Jakobsen A. ↑,
74', Niemeijer R. ↓, van de Loo T. ↑,
77', van Bommel R. 🟨,
78', Wolfe D. M. ↓, Kasius D. ↑,
78', Goes W. ↓, Belic K. ↑,
79', Mijnans S. ↓, Buurmeester Z. ↑,
85', van Bommel R. ↓, Addai J. ↑,
85', Parrott T. ↓, Meerdink M. ↑,
87', 0 - 3, Meerdink M. ⚽, Kasius D. (A),
90+2', Belic K. 🟨,
90+2', Lokesa C. 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Waalwijk won 2.
Waalwijk has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
AZ is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match AZ is indisputable favorite.
There will not play in Waalwijk: Oukili Y.
(Red Card)
Zawada O.
(Red Card)
There will not play in AZ: Dekker M.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Waalwijk: El Harmazi N.
(Shoulder Injury)
There are questionable in AZ: Westerveld S.
(Knee Injury)
Our prediction for today's AZ to win the game is with odds 1.41.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Waalwijk won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 17-38.
Including matches at home between the teams Waalwijk won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-16.
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Germany
Greece
Indonesia
Japan
Kazakhstan
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Poland
Slovakia
Slovenia
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Houwen J. (G) 
van Eijma R. 
Van den Buijs D. 
Weidmann D. 
Maikuma S. 
Penetra 
Wolfe D. M. 
Sadiq I. 
Parrott T. 
Jakobsen A. 
Belic K. 
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