Match Info

NORWAY: ELITESERIEN - ROUND 7

Date: 16 May 2023, Tuesday

Location: Brann Stadion (Bergen)

Referee: Moen S. (Nor)


	Brann		Stabæk

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.25	11	Watch
	1.3	5.5	9
	1.32	5.4	9.5
	1.3	5.69	11.26
	1.27	4.8	9.5
	1.32	5.4	9.1	Watch
	1.29	5.4	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.41)	5.35 ↑ (4.69)	9.79 ↑ (7.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brann
72.7%

Draw
17.7%

Stabæk
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

20%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

19.4%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brann's performance.

Stabæk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brann than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Brann - Stabæk Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Brann will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Stabæk will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brann: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 and 6).

Brann has the most likely position - 4 (10.63%), project points - 44, currently - 11, a very small chance of relegated (2%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Stabæk has the most likely position - 10 (10.04%), project points - 40, currently - 11, a small chance of relegated (8%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 30, small importance 12, small match rating 21. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brann won 2.

Recent matches Brann is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stabæk is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Stabæk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Brann have a series of guest games.

Recently Stabæk have a series of home games.

In this match Brann is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Brann: Castro N. (Injury) Heggebo A. (Injury) Mathisen U. (Injury) Pedersen T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Brann: Knudsen F. (Injury) Nilsen S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Stabæk: Naess N. (Injury)

Last 19 head-to-head matches Brann won 11 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 32-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Brann won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SK Brann
Norwegian Eliteserien
13.05.23	Sarpsborg 08 - Brann	2:1 ✺
08.05.23	Brann - Sandefjord	0:0 ✺
03.05.23	Rosenborg - Brann	0:2 ✺
29.04.23	Bodø Glimt - Brann	2:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
26.04.23	Stabæk - Brann	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTWTW
- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian Eliteserien
13.05.23	Stabæk - Aalesunds	1:0 ✺
07.05.23	Stabæk - Sarpsborg 08	1:1 ✺
30.04.23	Molde - Stabæk	2:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
26.04.23	Stabæk - Brann	0:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
23.04.23	Stabæk - Haugesund	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian NM Cup
26.04.23	Stabæk - Brann	0:2
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
07.08.22	Stabæk - Brann	1:2
10.07.22	Brann - Stabæk	1:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
17.10.21	Brann - Stabæk	1:1
27.05.21	Stabæk - Brann	2:0
24.10.20	Brann - Stabæk	1:1
24.08.20	Stabæk - Brann	0:2

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