Match Info

Brasiliense - Round 8

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Defelé (Brasília)


	Brasília		Real Brasilia

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.35	2.10	Watch
	3.9	3	1.91
	3.97	3.24	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (3.15)	3.2 ↓ (3.35)	1.95 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasília
24.8%

Draw
28.5%

Real Brasilia
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

27.3%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

26.7%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasília has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Real Brasilia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasília than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Brasilia than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Brasília - Real Brasilia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', (Penalty Awarded),
69', 🟥,
90+4', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Brasiliense 2 and 8).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Real Brasilia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Brasília won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Brasília won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasília FC
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
12.02.26	Brasília - Capital CF Ltda	1:3 ✺
07.02.26	Samambaia - Brasília	4:1 ✺
31.01.26	ARUC - Brasília	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Brasília - Ceilândia	1:2 ✺
21.01.26	Paranoá - Brasília	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWLL
- Real Brasilia
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
11.02.26	Real Brasilia - Sobradinho	0:3 ✺
07.02.26	Real Brasilia - Paranoá	4:5 ✺
31.01.26	Ceilândia - Real Brasilia	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Real Brasilia - Samambaia	0:1 ✺
21.01.26	Capital CF Ltda - Real Brasilia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
29.01.23	Brasília - Real Brasilia	2:1

Brasília - Real Brasilia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide