Match Info

Date: 30 July 2021, Friday


	Coritiba		Náutico Capibaribe

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	2.75	3.2
	2.35	2.8	3.05	Watch
	2.44	2.75	3.15
	2.58	2.81	3.44
	2.4	2.8	3.2
	2.51	2.91	3.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.38)	2.8 ↓ (2.92)	3.2 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Coritiba
37.9%

Draw
33.1%

Náutico Capibaribe
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

31.6%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

21%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coritiba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Náutico Capibaribe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29%	41.9%	29%

Coritiba - Náutico Capibaribe Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 9 - 29%). Náutico will win (votes: 9 - 29%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 41.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.5% – 59.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Recent matches Coritiba is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Náutico is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Coritiba will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Coritiba won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Coritiba won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B
25.07.21	Operário Ferroviario - Coritiba	1:0 ✺
22.07.21	Coritiba - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
16.07.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Coritiba	2:3 ✺
13.07.21	Coritiba - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
06.07.21	Cruzeiro - Coritiba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTWTT
- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie B
24.07.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Brusque	1:1 ✺
21.07.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1 ✺
18.07.21	Vasco da Gama - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1 ✺
12.07.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
09.07.21	Goiás - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
28.09.13	Náutico Capibaribe - Coritiba	3:0
09.06.13	Coritiba - Náutico Capibaribe	1:0
17.10.12	Coritiba - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1
25.07.12	Náutico Capibaribe - Coritiba	N/A

Upcoming Matches