Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 21

Date: 18 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Augusto Bauer (Brusque)

Referee: Ribeiro Serafim D. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Amazon Prime Video


	Brusque		Coritiba

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.88	2.7	Watch
	2.9	2.8	2.5
	2.95	2.9	2.6
	3.09	2.86	2.78
	3.02	2.76	2.69	Watch
	2.88	2.88	2.62
	2.97	2.81	2.65	Watch
	2.95	2.9	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.83)	2.85 ↓ (2.95)	2.64 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusque
31.7%

Draw
32.9%

Coritiba
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

31.2%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

31.6%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	25%	33.3%

Brusque - Coritiba Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Brusque will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Coritiba will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brusque: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 22. Cristovam 2. Everton Alemao 4. Wallace (C) 66. Alex Ruan 5. Rodolfo Potiguar 19. Marcos Serrato 8. Jhemerson 3. Ianson 17. Guilherme Queiroz 94. Paulinho Moccelin	72. Pedro Morisco (G) 16. Natanael 4. Benevenuto 14. Thalisson 26. Bruno Melo 19. Gomez S. (C) 8. Ze Gabriel 10. Matheus Frizzo 98. Lucas Ronier 21. Brandao 22. Figueiredo
Substitutes
10. Dentinho 27. Diego Mathias 11. Diego Tavares 7. Dionisio 35. Georgemy (G) 21. Luiz Henrique 33. Madison 31. Matheus Silva (G) 28. Mauricio Ribeiro 12. Neto 20. Robinho 29. Wellissol	67. Benassi (G) 7. Castillo E. 40. Everton Morelli 38. Geovane Meurer 83. Jamerson 43. Jhonny 9. Junior Brumado 18. Matheus Bianqui 5. Mauricio Antonio 6. Rodrigo Gelado 36. Vini Paulista 57. Wesley Pomba
Coaches
Luizinho Vieira	Jorginho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Figueiredo ⚽, Brandao (A),
40', Paulinho Moccelin 🟨,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Figueiredo 🟨,
53', Alex Ruan 🟨,
58', Lucas Ronier 🟨,
65', Rodolfo Potiguar ↓, Wellissol ↑,
65', Guilherme Queiroz ↓, Diego Tavares ↑,
78', Brandao ↓, Junior Brumado ↑,
78', Figueiredo ↓, Castillo E. ↑,
80', Alex Ruan ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
81', Jhemerson ↓, Diego Mathias ↑,
86', Everton Morelli ↓, Vini Paulista ↑,
90', Dentinho ↓, Robinho ↑,
90+2', Marcos Serrato 🟨,
90+5', Gomez S. 🟨,
90+5', Lucas Ronier ↓, Matheus Bianqui ↑,
90+9', Benevenuto 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 14).

Recent matches Brusque is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Coritiba is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Coritiba could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Brusque: Keke (Injury) Marcelo Nunes (Injury) Olavio (Injury)

There will not play in Coritiba: Leandro Damiao (Personal Reasons)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Brusque won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Brusque won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie B
09.08.24	Mirassol - Brusque	2:0 ✺
02.08.24	Brusque - América Mineiro	0:0 ✺
28.07.24	Guarani - Brusque	1:0 ✺
24.07.24	Brusque - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
21.07.24	Botafogo SP - Brusque	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTLWT
- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B
11.08.24	Coritiba - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
03.08.24	Botafogo SP - Coritiba	2:0 ✺
27.07.24	Coritiba - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
22.07.24	Santos - Coritiba	4:0 ✺
19.07.24	Coritiba - Mirassol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
28.04.24	Coritiba - Brusque	1:0
07.09.21	Coritiba - Brusque	4:0
03.08.21	Brusque - Coritiba	0:0

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