Match Info

Date: 13 November 2020, Friday


	Atlético Tubarão		Grêmio Novorizontino

	1	X	2
	6	3.1	1.6
	5	3.6	1.57
	5.4	3.3	1.6
	6.06	3.41	1.62
	5.25	3.2	1.65
	5.55	3.6	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.54 ↑ (4.94)	3.37 ↓ (3.55)	1.61 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Tubarão
16.4%

Draw
27%

Grêmio Novorizontino
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

25.4%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8%

22%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Tubarão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tubarão than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grêmio Novorizontino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Atlético Tubarão is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Novorizontino is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Novorizontino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Novorizontino is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético Tubarão won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Tubarão
Brazilian Serie D
07.11.20	São Caetano - Atlético Tubarão	1:1 ✺
31.10.20	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Atlético Tubarão	3:0 ✺
24.10.20	Atlético Tubarão - Joinville	0:1 ✺
21.10.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Atlético Tubarão	1:1 ✺
18.10.20	Atlético Tubarão - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TLLTT
- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie D
07.11.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:0 ✺
25.10.20	São Luiz - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:2 ✺
22.10.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - Caxias	1:1 ✺
18.10.20	Caxias - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
14.10.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - São Luiz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
30.09.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - Atlético Tubarão	1:0

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