Match Info

Date: 22 October 2020, Thursday


	Grêmio Novorizontino		Caxias

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	4.4
	1.8	3.2	4.15
	1.7	3.35	4.5
	1.74	3.58	4.62
	1.75	3.1	4.6
	1.75	3.35	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.12)	3.33 ↑ (3)	4.48 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Novorizontino
52.3%

Draw
27.3%

Caxias
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

30.5%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

22.6%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grêmio Novorizontino's performance.

Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caxias might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio Novorizontino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

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Preview

Novorizontino in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Caxias is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Caxias could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Novorizontino is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Novorizontino to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Novorizontino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie D
18.10.20	Caxias - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
14.10.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - São Luiz	1:0 ✺
03.10.20	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
30.09.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - Atlético Tubarão	1:0 ✺
26.09.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTWW
- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Serie D
18.10.20	Caxias - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
14.10.20	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Caxias	1:0 ✺
10.10.20	Joinville - Caxias	1:1 ✺
04.10.20	Caxias - São Luiz	1:2 ✺
01.10.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Caxias	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
18.10.20	Caxias - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1

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