Match Info

Date: 7 November 2020, Saturday


	Grêmio Novorizontino		Náutico Marcílio Dias

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	5.5
	1.72	2.9	5.5
	1.72	2.75	5.8
	1.72	3.05	5
	1.75	3.15	5.42
	1.75	3	4.8
	1.75	3.2	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.62)	3.12 ↓ (3.4)	5.27 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Novorizontino
53.5%

Draw
29.2%

Náutico Marcílio Dias
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

26.1%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

21.6%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Náutico Marcílio Dias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio Novorizontino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Grêmio Novorizontino - Náutico Marcílio Dias Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

Novorizontino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Novorizontino is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Novorizontino to win the game is with odds 1.7.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Novorizontino won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie D
25.10.20	São Luiz - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:2 ✺
22.10.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - Caxias	1:1 ✺
18.10.20	Caxias - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
14.10.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - São Luiz	1:0 ✺
03.10.20	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWWT
- Náutico Marcílio Dias
Brazilian Serie D
31.10.20	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Atlético Tubarão	3:0 ✺
25.10.20	Caxias - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:2 ✺
22.10.20	Náutico Marcílio Dias - São Luiz	1:1 ✺
18.10.20	São Luiz - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:1 ✺
14.10.20	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Caxias	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
03.10.20	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0

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