Match Info

Gaucho - Round 2

Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday


	Ypiranga		Guarany de Bagé

	1	X	2
	1.85	3	4.33	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4.35	Watch
	1.85	3.05	4.95	Watch
	1.85	2.9	4
	1.83	2.98	4.6	Watch
	1.86	3	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.59)	3.01 ↓ (3.36)	4.5 ↓ (6.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ypiranga
49.4%

Draw
30.4%

Guarany de Bagé
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

27.3%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ypiranga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ypiranga's form might have worsened.

Guarany de Bagé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guarany de Bagé's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	37.5%	0%

Ypiranga - Guarany de Bagé Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ypiranga will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ypiranga: 29% – 96%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ypiranga will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
85. Ze Carlos (G) 2. Cleiton 22. Walce 3. Willian Gomes (C) 6. Nicolas 5. Rian 27. Dionisio 7. Felipe Ferreira 11. Estevao 17. Henrique 28. Gustavo Simoes	1. Jonathan (G) 2. Talles 3. Michel Bennech 4. Bruno Cardoso 6. Jean Carlos 22. Raphinha (C) 14. Igor Souza 19. Paulinho Souza 8. Murilo 11. Tony Junior 20. Adailson
Substitutes
41. Adilson Junior 23. Danielzinho 20. Dudu 8. Gabriel Terra 29. Gabriel Werner (G) 21. Lucas Fogaca 16. Lucas Ramos 15. Mago 10. Marlone 43. Ramon Vinicius 4. Reinaldo 9. Renan Gorne	13. Alberte 16. Allan 5. David Cunha 18. Hiago Lucas 15. Jean Martim 9. Lucao 17. Marcao 7. Marquinhos 12. Thiago Goncalves (G) 21. Valter Bala 10. Welder
Coaches
Raul Cabral	Wiliam Campos

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Nicolas 🟨,
39', Tony Junior 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Adailson ↓, Welder ↑,
57', Henrique ↓, Danielzinho ↑,
57', Felipe Ferreira ↓, Renan Gorne ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Willian Gomes (Own goal),
63', Dionisio ↓, Lucas Ramos ↑,
72', Tony Junior ↓, Jean Martim ↑,
72', Raphinha ↓, Allan ↑,
75', Paulinho Souza 🟨,
77', Murilo 🟨,
81', Bruno Cardoso ↓, David Cunha ↑,
82', Nicolas ↓, Marlone ↑,
82', Gustavo Simoes ↓, Mago ↑,
90', Paulinho Souza ↓, Marcao ↑,
90+7', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, Ypiranga is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ypiranga won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ypiranga won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
10.01.26	Juventude - Ypiranga	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
30.08.25	Ypiranga - Figueirense	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Ituano - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
18.08.25	Ypiranga - Botafogo PB	2:2 ✺
09.08.25	Guarani - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWLTL
- Guarany de Bagé
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
10.01.26	Guarany de Bagé - Monsoon	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
27.07.25	Guarany de Bagé - Joinville	2:1 ✺
20.07.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Guarany de Bagé	1:1 ✺
13.07.25	Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	EC São José Porto Alegre - Guarany de Bagé	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
09.02.25	Ypiranga - Guarany de Bagé	1:0
21.01.24	Guarany de Bagé - Ypiranga	1:2
27.02.22	Ypiranga - Guarany de Bagé	3:1

Ypiranga - Guarany de Bagé: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide