Match Info

BRAZIL: Gaucho - Troféu Farroupilha - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 24 February 2025, Monday

Location: Estádio Olímpico Colosso da Lagoa (Erechim)


	Ypiranga		Monsoon

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	7.5	Watch
				Watch
	1.42	4.05	8.3
	1.4	4	8.1	Watch
	1.4	3.8	7.5
	1.46	4.02	7.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (2.04)	3.97 ↑ (2.96)	7.73 ↑ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ypiranga
64.8%

Draw
23.2%

Monsoon
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

31.2%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

30.7%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ypiranga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ypiranga's performance.

Monsoon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monsoon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (-18.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ypiranga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monsoon than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monsoon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Ypiranga - Monsoon Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ypiranga will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Edson (G) 18. Emerson Galego 11. Felipe Marques 28. Heitor 6. Heitor Roca 10. Jean Pyerre 30. Joao Paulo 16. Lucas Ramos 7. Roger 2. Vitor Marinho 3. Willian Gomes	1. Max (G) 8. Carlos Maia 6. Cassio 11. Jarro Pedroso 5. Jhonata Lima 4. Jo 10. Leandro Moura 9. Leo Bahia 3. Marcos Arthur 7. Montefiori T. 2. Tony Junior
Substitutes
5. Charles Raphael 8. Clayton 9. Cristiano 99. Danielzinho 33. Eduardo Grechi 34. Fernando Costa (G) 4. Franklin 43. Luciano 22. Rian 19. Salas De La Hoz A. D. J. 26. Valber Junior 40. Ze Carlos (G)	17. Cris Magno 14. Itaqui 15. Jeder 16. Jeferson Lopes 19. Joaozinho 12. Lucio (G) 13. Luis Morales 1203. Nicolas 18. Otavio
Coaches
Matheus Costa	Weisheimer G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Jhonata Lima 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Marcos Arthur 🟨,
61', Jo 🟨,
67', Leo Bahia ↓, Otavio ↑,
67', Jean Pyerre ↓, Danielzinho ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Roger ⚽,
74', Heitor Roca ↓, Franklin ↑,
74', Roger 🟨,
76', Jhonata Lima ↓, Jeferson Lopes ↑,
76', Montefiori T. ↓, Luis Morales ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Leandro Moura ⚽,
Penalties (5 - 3)
1, Emerson Galego (Pen),
1, Leandro Moura (Pen),
2, Cristiano (Pen),
2, Cris Magno (Pen),
3, Joao Paulo (Pen),
3, Jeferson Lopes (Pen),
4, Charles Raphael (Pen),
4, Joaozinho (Pen),
5, Lucas Ramos (Pen),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ypiranga will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ypiranga won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Ypiranga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
20.02.25	Monsoon - Ypiranga	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Ypiranga - Grêmio	0:1 ✺
12.02.25	Brasil de Pelotas - Ypiranga	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Ypiranga - Guarany de Bagé	1:0 ✺
06.02.25	EC São José Porto Alegre - Ypiranga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLWWT
- Monsoon FC
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
20.02.25	Monsoon - Ypiranga	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Internacional RS - Monsoon	2:0 ✺
12.02.25	EC São José Porto Alegre - Monsoon	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Monsoon - Avenida	2:1 ✺
06.02.25	Monsoon - Guarany de Bagé	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
20.02.25	Monsoon - Ypiranga	1:1
01.02.25	Ypiranga - Monsoon	2:1

Ypiranga - Monsoon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide