Match Info

Division 1 - Round 19

Date: 12 June 2026, Friday

Location: Markets Field (Limerick)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	LOI TV


	Treaty United		Bray Wanderers

	1	X	2
	3.50	3.40	1.82
	3.60	3.45	1.84
	3.97	3.74	1.92
	3.85	3.46	1.86	Watch
	3.60	3.40	1.85
	3.81	3.55	1.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↓ (3.95)	3.5 ↓ (3.52)	1.85 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treaty United
24.5%

Draw
26.1%

Bray Wanderers
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

26%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

25%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treaty United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Bray Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treaty United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bray Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10%	90%

Treaty United - Bray Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: Bray Wanderers will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Fitzpatrick K. (G) 16. Yoro E. 27. Lynch R. 20. Nwankwo D. 3. Lynch B. (C) 18. Oyenuga J. 31. Manning R. 30. Murphy M. 11. Byrne M. 15. Feeney B. 9. Curtis C.	1. Corcoran J. (C) 4. Duggan J. 3. Fagbemi B. 27. O'Shea D. 16. Tucker K. 20. Sammy T. 10. Ferizaj R. 6. Sesay J. B. 17. Doyle C. 11. Achara I. 9. Ring D.
Substitutes
8. Conroy C. 19. Cunningham B. 23. Doherty F. 12. Lapointe R. 10. Lawlor R. 7. Layne J. 14. Lee B. 25. Walsh M.	8. Brennan S. 30. Cheese E. 13. Hogan R. (G) 15. Kelly R. 7. Knight C. 25. McGuinnes S. (G) 12. Osagie D. 23. Ryan J. 33. Shelley B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Oyenuga J. ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, Byrne M. ⚽,
12', 2 - 1, Sammy T. ⚽,
31', Sammy T. 🟨,
32', Manning R. 🟨,
34', 2 - 2, Ring D. ⚽,
42', Sesay J. B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Doyle C. 🟨,
64', Achara I. ↓, Knight C. ↑,
65', Sesay J. B. ↓, Ryan J. ↑,
74', Byrne M. ↓, Conroy C. ↑,
76', Ferizaj R. ↓, Brennan S. ↑,
77', Curtis C. 🟨,
79', Ryan J. 🟨,
81', Yoro E. 🟨,
83', Manning R. ↓, Doherty F. ↑,
83', Oyenuga J. ↓, Layne J. ↑,
84', Tucker K. ↓, Kelly R. ↑,
86', Feeney B. ↓, Cunningham B. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Treaty United won 1.

Treaty United is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bray Wanderers is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Bray Wanderers is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Treaty United won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:28. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Treaty United won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bray	34	15	8	11	65:49	16	53
9	Treaty United	34	9	9	16	33:52	-19	36

Last Results with these Odds

Treaty United - the odds 3.95 are the expected chance of winning is 23.19%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treaty United
Irish Division 1
29.05.26	Longford Town - Treaty United	3:1 ✺
25.05.26	Treaty United - Cork City	0:1 ✺
22.05.26	Treaty United - Cobh Ramblers	1:2 ✺
15.05.26	Treaty United - Finn Harps	3:0 ✺
08.05.26	Athlone Town - Treaty United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLWT
- Bray Wanderers
Irish Division 1
29.05.26	Bray Wanderers - Wexford	4:0 ✺
22.05.26	Kerry - Bray Wanderers	2:2 ✺
15.05.26	University College Dublin - Bray Wanderers	3:4 ✺
08.05.26	Bray Wanderers - Cobh Ramblers	5:1 ✺
04.05.26	Finn Harps - Bray Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
01.05.26	Bray Wanderers - Treaty United	2:2
20.02.26	Treaty United - Bray Wanderers	0:1
02.11.25	Bray Wanderers - Treaty United	1:0
10.10.25	Treaty United - Bray Wanderers	2:1
01.08.25	Bray Wanderers - Treaty United	3:2
13.06.25	Treaty United - Bray Wanderers	2:1
11.04.25	Bray Wanderers - Treaty United	2:1

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