Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group B - Round 24

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday


	Breno		Desenzano Calvina

	1	X	2
	3.67	3.15	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 (3.67)	3.15 (3.15)	2.06 (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Breno
25.3%

Draw
29.5%

Desenzano Calvina
45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

29%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Breno have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Desenzano Calvina have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breno than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Verzeni N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 1 - 1, Bianchetti C. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Desenzano will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Breno won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Breno won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Breno Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
19.01.25	Chievo - Breno	1:0 ✺
15.01.25	Breno - Varesina	1:1 ✺
05.01.25	Cavenago Fanfulla - Breno	2:0 ✺
22.12.24	Arconatese - Breno	0:0 ✺
15.12.24	Breno - Pro Palazzolo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTLTW
- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group B
19.01.25	Desenzano Calvina - Arconatese	0:0 ✺
15.01.25	Pro Palazzolo - Desenzano Calvina	1:0 ✺
05.01.25	Sondrio - Desenzano Calvina	1:4 ✺
22.12.24	Castellanzese - Desenzano Calvina	1:1 ✺
15.12.24	Desenzano Calvina - Casatese	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
29.01.23	Breno - Desenzano Calvina	1:1
28.09.22	Desenzano Calvina - Breno	1:0
26.03.22	Breno - Desenzano Calvina	0:0
07.11.21	Desenzano Calvina - Breno	1:1
25.04.21	Breno - Desenzano Calvina	3:1

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