Match Info

Date: 16 September 2022, Friday

Location: Stadio Mario Rigamonti (Brescia)

Referee: Gualtieri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Italy	Sky Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Brescia		Benevento

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.25
	2.2	3.2	3.3
	2.19	3.15	3.25
	2.26	3.33	3.5
	2.18	3.26	3.38	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.27)	3.22 ↑ (3.1)	3.31 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brescia
42.8%

Draw
29%

Benevento
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

30.2%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

29.4%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Benevento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.1%	27.6%	10.3%

Brescia - Benevento Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 18 - 62.1%). Benevento will win (votes: 3 - 10.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 27.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brescia: 44.4% – 79.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 10).

Brescia has the most likely position - 1 (12.85%), has project points - 62, has currently - 12, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (47%), has a chance of promoted (32%), has a small chance of win league (13%).

Benevento has the most likely position - 3 (8.09%), has project points - 57, has currently - 7, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (44%), has a chance of promoted (22%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

This event has quality 39, importance 45, match rating 42. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brescia won 2.

Brescia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Benevento is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brescia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Brescia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Brescia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
10.09.22	Modena - Brescia	1:3 ✺
03.09.22	Brescia - Perugia	2:1 ✺
29.08.22	Como - Brescia	0:1 ✺
21.08.22	Frosinone - Brescia	3:0 ✺
14.08.22	Brescia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWLW
- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie B
10.09.22	Benevento - Cagliari	0:2 ✺
03.09.22	Venezia - Benevento	0:2 ✺
28.08.22	Benevento - Frosinone	2:1 ✺
20.08.22	Genoa - Benevento	0:0 ✺
14.08.22	Benevento - Nuova Cosenza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
15.03.22	Brescia - Benevento	2:2
01.11.21	Benevento - Brescia	0:1
11.05.19	Brescia - Benevento	2:3
30.12.18	Benevento - Brescia	1:1
17.04.17	Brescia - Benevento	1:0
19.11.16	Benevento - Brescia	4:0

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