Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 24

Date: 9 February 2024, Friday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como)

Referee: Rutella D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport


	Como		Brescia

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	5	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.75
	1.78	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.78	3.4	5
	1.79	3.49	5.38
	1.75	3.4	4.33
	1.79	3.54	4.77	Watch
	1.8	3.35	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.79)	3.41 ↓ (3.5)	4.84 ↑ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Como
52.9%

Draw
27.6%

Brescia
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

27%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

26.6%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.9%	29.4%	17.6%

Como - Brescia Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Como will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Brescia will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Como: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Semper A. (G) 5. Curto M. 2. Goldaniga E. 93. Barba F. 44. Ioannou N. 14. Bellemo A. (C) 8. Baselli D. 21. Strefezza G. 90. Verdi S. 33. Da Cunha L. 9. Gabrielloni A.	22. Andrenacci L. (G) 24. Dickmann L. 14. Mangraviti M. 28. Adorni D. 18. Jallow A. 25. Bisoli D. 4. Paghera F. 26. Bertagnoli M. 27. Olzer G. 29. Borrelli G. 7. Bjarnason B.
Substitutes
70. Ballet S. 12. Bolchini P. (G) 27. Braunoder M. 84. Cassandro T. 7. Chajia M. 99. Fumagalli T. 23. Gioacchini N. 6. Iovine A. 94. Kone B. L. 77. Nsame J. 3. Sala M. 4. Solini M.	30. Avella M. (G) 39. Besaggio M. 9. Bianchi F. 16. Cartano R. 6. Fares M. 31. Ferro M. 23. Galazzi N. 3. Huard M. 32. Papetti A. 5. Van de Looi T.
Coaches
Roberts O.	Maran R.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Como won 2.

Como is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Brescia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Como is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Como won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Como won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Como
Italian Serie B
03.02.24	Ternana - Como	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Como - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
20.01.24	Reggiana - Como	2:2 ✺
13.01.24	Como - Spezia	4:0 ✺
26.12.23	Nuova Cosenza - Como	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLTWW
- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
03.02.24	Brescia - Cittadella	2:0 ✺
27.01.24	Cremonese - Brescia	1:0 ✺
20.01.24	Brescia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
13.01.24	Modena - Brescia	1:2 ✺
26.12.23	Brescia - Parma	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
16.12.23	Brescia - Como	2:0
28.01.23	Brescia - Como	0:1
29.08.22	Como - Brescia	0:1
26.02.22	Como - Brescia	1:1
03.10.21	Brescia - Como	2:4
27.02.16	Brescia - Como	2:1
11.10.15	Como - Brescia	1:3

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