Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 30

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone)

Referee: Rutella D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Frosinone		Brescia

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.7	3.8	Watch
	2.25	2.75	3.6
	2.3	2.7	3.75	Watch
	2.38	2.8	3.99
	2.33	2.7	3.99	Watch
	2.2	2.62	4
	2.32	2.73	3.84	Watch
	2.3	2.7	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.42)	2.71 ↑ (2.6)	3.84 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Frosinone
40.9%

Draw
34.6%

Brescia
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

36.3%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	63.6%	9.1%

Frosinone - Brescia Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Frosinone will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Brescia will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Cerofolini M. (G) 20. Oyono A. 30. Monterisi I. 17. Kvernadze G. 3. Marchizza R. 18. Bettella D. 8. Vural I. 55. Darboe E. 7. Ghedjemis F. 10. Ambrosino G. 92. Kone B. L.	1. Lezzerini L. (G) 5. Calvani G. 28. Adorni D. 18. Jallow A. 24. Dickmann L. 25. Bisoli D. 6. Verreth M. 8. Bjarnason B. 20. Nuamah P. 29. Borrelli G. 11. Moncini G.
Substitutes
37. Barcella K. 11. Begic T. 4. Biraschi D. 79. Bracaglia G. 64. Cichella M. 77. Di Chiara G. 28. Di Stefano F. 15. Lucioni F. 21. Oyono J. 70. Partipilo A. 13. Sorrentino A. (G) 74. Tsadjout F.	22. Andrenacci L. (G) 12. Avella M. (G) 39. Besaggio M. 9. Bianchi F. 19. Corrado N. 16. D'Andrea L. 14. Maucci G. 33. Muca Z. 27. Olzer G. 32. Papetti A.
Coaches
Bianco P.	Maran R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Kvernadze G. ⚽, Kone B. L. (A),
18', Borrelli G. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Moncini G. ⚽, Bisoli D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Monterisi I. 🟨,
56', Ambrosino G. ↓, Tsadjout F. ↑,
61', 2 - 1, Ghedjemis F. ⚽, Oyono A. (A),
67', Ghedjemis F. ↓, Lucioni F. ↑,
67', Kvernadze G. ↓, Partipilo A. ↑,
67', Marchizza R. ↓, Bracaglia G. ↑,
72', Bjarnason B. ↓, D'Andrea L. ↑,
72', Jallow A. ↓, Corrado N. ↑,
72', Verreth M. ↓, Besaggio M. ↑,
73', Dickmann L. 🟨,
81', Partipilo A. 🟨,
84', Borrelli G. ↓, Olzer G. ↑,
84', Nuamah P. ↓, Bianchi F. ↑,
85', Tsadjout F. 🟨,
87', Vural I. ↓, Cichella M. ↑,
90+2', Calvani G. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Frosinone won 2.

Frosinone is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brescia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Frosinone will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Frosinone: Ambrosino G. (Inactive) Biraschi D. (Inactive) Bohinen E. (Inactive) Cittadini G. (Knee Injury) Kalaj S. (Injury) Szyminski P. (Injury)

There will not play in Brescia: Andrenacci L. (Inactive) Cistana A. (Injury) Fogliata R. (Injury) Galazzi N. (Inactive)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Frosinone won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21:20 (average 1.5:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Frosinone won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:3 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie B
08.03.25	Carrarese - Frosinone	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Frosinone - Mantova	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Salernitana - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Frosinone - Reggiana	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Frosinone - Catanzaro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWTTT
- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
08.03.25	Brescia - Cesena	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Palermo - Brescia	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Brescia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Sassuolo - Brescia	2:0 ✺
07.02.25	Brescia - Salernitana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
14.09.24	Brescia - Frosinone	4:0
22.01.23	Brescia - Frosinone	1:3
21.08.22	Frosinone - Brescia	3:0
20.02.22	Brescia - Frosinone	2:2
20.09.21	Frosinone - Brescia	2:2
13.03.21	Frosinone - Brescia	0:1
28.11.20	Brescia - Frosinone	1:2

Upcoming Matches