The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Modena 38.8%
Draw 32.5%
Brescia 28.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.9%
31.2%
26.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
29.9%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30.8%
53.8%
15.4%
Modena - Brescia Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Brescia will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% โ 83.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Brescia (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Brescia (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Brescia (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Gagno R. (G) 2. Beyuku G. 19. Zaro G. 33. Cauz C. 18. Di Pardo A. 6. Magnino L. 16. Gerli F. 29. Cotali M. 10. Palumbo A. 20. Caso G. 9. Gliozzi E.
1. Lezzerini L. (G) 39. Besaggio M. 5. Calvani G. 28. Adorni D. 18. Jallow A. 25. Bisoli D. 6. Verreth M. 19. Corrado N. 23. Galazzi N. 29. Borrelli G. 9. Bianchi F.
Substitutes
78. Bagheria F. (G) 31. Botteghin E. 21. Bozhanaj K. 12. Castelnuovo M. (G) 92. Defrel G. 25. Dellavalle A. 7. Duca E. 27. Idrissi R. 93. Kamate I. 4. Pergreffi A. 3. Ponsi F. 14. Vulikic S.
22. Andrenacci L. (G) 12. Avella M. (G) 8. Bjarnason B. 15. Cistana A. 16. D'Andrea L. 7. Juric A. 14. Maucci G. 11. Moncini G. 33. Muca Z. 20. Nuamah P. 27. Olzer G. 32. Papetti A.
Coaches
Mandelli P.
Maran R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
17', Adorni D. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Cauz C. (Own goal),
28', 1 - 1, Caso G. ⚽, Di Pardo A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 2 - 1, Di Pardo A. ⚽, Zaro G. (A),
68', Di Pardo A. 🟨,
75', Besaggio M. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
75', Bianchi F. ↓, Moncini G. ↑,
76', Gliozzi E. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
76', Di Pardo A. ↓, Ponsi F. ↑,
77', Palumbo A. 🟨,
84', Galazzi N. ↓, D'Andrea L. ↑,
84', Jallow A. ↓, Cistana A. ↑,
85', Cotali M. ↓, Dellavalle A. ↑,
85', Caso G. 🟨,
85', Caso G. ↓, Duca E. ↑,
87', Corrado N. ↓, Olzer G. ↑,
88', Beyuku G. 🟨,
89', 2 - 2, Calvani G. ⚽, Bisoli D. (A),
90+3', Palumbo A. ↓, Kamate I. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Modena is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Modena: Battistella T.
(Injury)
Caldara M.
(Inactive)
Oliva M.
(Red Card)
Santoro S.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Brescia: Dickmann L.
(Yellow Cards)
Fogliata R.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Brescia: Bertagnoli M.
(Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Modena won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).
Italy
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Gagno R. (G) 
Beyuku G. 
Jallow A. 
Verreth M. 
Botteghin E. 
Bozhanaj K. 
Vulikic S. 
Bjarnason B. 
