Match Info

Serie B - Round 34

Date: 13 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Mario Rigamonti (Brescia)

Referee: Rutella D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Brescia		Reggiana

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	8	Watch
	1.5	3.9	6.5
	1.38	4.5	8	Watch
	1.39	4.55	9.16
	1.39	4.51	8.24	Watch
	1.5	3.8	7
	1.42	4.5	8	Watch
	1.38	4.5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (2.36)	4.35 ↑ (3.05)	7.86 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brescia
66.3%

Draw
21.7%

Reggiana
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

30.6%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

28.5%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brescia's performance.

Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reggiana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-29.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brescia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+20%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reggiana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.2%	0%	14.8%

Brescia - Reggiana Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 20 - 83.3%). Reggiana will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brescia: 68.4% – 98.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +1 - Reggiana (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Brescia (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Reggiana (2.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Brescia (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brescia will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Brescia (votes: 18 - 81.8%). Reggiana (votes: 4 - 18.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lezzerini L. (G) 24. Dickmann L. 5. Calvani G. 28. Adorni D. 18. Jallow A. 25. Bisoli D. 6. Verreth M. 23. Galazzi N. 39. Besaggio M. 29. Borrelli G. 9. Bianchi F.	1. Motta E. (G) 13. Meroni A. 4. Rozzio P. 44. Lucchesi L. 17. Libutti L. 25. Ignacchiti L. 16. Reinhart T. 5. Sersanti A. 7. Marras M. 80. Girma N. 11. Gondo C.
Substitutes
22. Andrenacci L. (G) 12. Avella M. (G) 26. Bertagnoli M. 8. Bjarnason B. 15. Cistana A. 19. Corrado N. 16. D'Andrea L. 7. Juric A. 11. Moncini G. 20. Nuamah P. 27. Olzer G. 32. Papetti A.	24. Brekalo F. 18. Cavaliere E. 8. Cigarini L. 21. Destro M. 55. Kumi J. 27. Maggio M. 87. Nahounou Y. 65. Paterlini F. 3. Sosa J. 99. Sposito A. (G) 6. Stulac L. 29. Urso O.
Coaches
Maran R.	Dionigi D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', Marras M. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Bianchi F. ⚽, Galazzi N. (A),
29', Bisoli D. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Girma N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rozzio P. ↓, Nahounou Y. ↑,
58', Besaggio M. ↓, Moncini G. ↑,
58', Jallow A. ↓, Cistana A. ↑,
63', Meroni A. ↓, Sosa J. ↑,
66', Bianchi F. ↓, Bjarnason B. ↑,
69', Reinhart T. ↓, Stulac L. ↑,
76', Borrelli G. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
76', Galazzi N. ↓, Olzer G. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Verreth M. ⚽,
85', Girma N. ↓, Destro M. ↑,
85', Marras M. ↓, Urso O. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brescia won 1.

Recent matches Brescia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Reggiana has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Brescia will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Brescia: Cistana A. (Red Card) Fogliata R. (Injury) Olzer G. (Inactive) Verreth M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Reggiana: Bardi F. (Yellow Cards) Cigarini L. (Red Card) Girma N. (Yellow Cards) Pettinari S. (Calf Injury) Sampirisi M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Reggiana: Portanova M. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Brescia won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Brescia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
09.05.25	Modena - Brescia	2:2 ✺
04.05.25	Brescia - Juve Stabia	0:0 ✺
01.05.25	Cittadella - Brescia	0:1 ✺
25.04.25	Brescia - Pisa	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Nuova Cosenza - Brescia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTWLT
- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
09.05.25	Juve Stabia - Reggiana	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Reggiana - Spezia	2:1 ✺
01.05.25	Modena - Reggiana	2:3 ✺
25.04.25	Reggiana - Cittadella	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Reggiana - Pisa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
27.08.24	Reggiana - Brescia	2:0
24.02.24	Brescia - Reggiana	0:0
10.12.23	Reggiana - Brescia	1:1
Club Friendly
07.08.21	Brescia - Reggiana	Canceled
Italian Serie B
05.04.21	Reggiana - Brescia	2:2
19.12.20	Brescia - Reggiana	3:1

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