Match Info

Serie B - Round 37

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Mario Rigamonti (Brescia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Brescia		Juve Stabia

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	3.1	Watch
	2.87	2.65	2.85
	2.49	2.9	3.1	Watch
	2.48	2.89	3.35
	2.44	2.88	3.24	Watch
	2.58	2.69	3.43	Watch
	2.49	2.9	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.34)	2.84 ↓ (3.16)	3.17 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brescia
37.1%

Draw
33.1%

Juve Stabia
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

29.7%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

31.3%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Juve Stabia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brescia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	25%	16.7%

Brescia - Juve Stabia Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Juve Stabia will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brescia: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Brescia (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Juve Stabia (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Brescia (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Juve Stabia (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lezzerini L. (G) 24. Dickmann L. 5. Calvani G. 28. Adorni D. (C) 18. Jallow A. 25. Bisoli D. 6. Verreth M. 39. Besaggio M. 23. Galazzi N. 29. Borrelli G. 11. Moncini G.	20. Thiam D. (G) 13. Baldi M. 24. Varnier M. 6. Bellich M. 28. Andreoni C. 10. Pierobon C. 98. Mosti N. 29. Fortini N. 11. Piscopo K. 18. Sgarbi L. 27. Candellone L. (C)
Substitutes
22. Andrenacci L. (G) 12. Avella M. (G) 9. Bianchi F. 8. Bjarnason B. 15. Cistana A. 19. Corrado N. 16. D'Andrea L. 7. Juric A. 14. Maucci G. 20. Nuamah P. 27. Olzer G. 32. Papetti A.	9. Adorante A. 7. Dubickas E. 25. Gerbo A. 55. Leone G. 80. Louati A. 37. Maistro F. 1. Matosevic K. (G) 14. Meli M. 2. Quaranta D. 3. Rocchetti Y. 4. Ruggero M. 16. Signorini A. (G)
Coaches
Maran R.	Pagliuca G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Sgarbi L. 🟥,
44', Dickmann L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Moncini G. ↓, Bianchi F. ↑,
62', Mosti N. 🟨,
66', Mosti N. ↓, Meli M. ↑,
72', Verreth M. ↓, Bjarnason B. ↑,
73', Jallow A. ↓, Corrado N. ↑,
73', Galazzi N. ↓, D'Andrea L. ↑,
75', Fortini N. ↓, Rocchetti Y. ↑,
76', Bellich M. ↓, Ruggero M. ↑,
76', Candellone L. ↓, Adorante A. ↑,
83', D'Andrea L. 🟨,
84', Piscopo K. 🟨,
85', Baldi M. ↓, Quaranta D. ↑,
90', Besaggio M. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
90+4', Rocchetti Y. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brescia won 3.

In recent matches, Brescia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Juve Stabia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Juve Stabia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Brescia: Fogliata R. (Injury)

There will not play in Juve Stabia: Buglio D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Brescia: Bertagnoli M. (Injury) Verreth M. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Brescia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Brescia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
01.05.25	Cittadella - Brescia	0:1 ✺
25.04.25	Brescia - Pisa	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Nuova Cosenza - Brescia	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Brescia - Mantova	1:2 ✺
28.03.25	Spezia - Brescia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WLTLW
- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B
01.05.25	Juve Stabia - Catanzaro	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Juve Stabia	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Cremonese - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Juve Stabia - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Cesena - Juve Stabia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
23.11.24	Juve Stabia - Brescia	0:0
25.05.14	Brescia - Juve Stabia	4:1
26.12.13	Juve Stabia - Brescia	1:2
28.01.13	Juve Stabia - Brescia	0:0
01.09.12	Brescia - Juve Stabia	2:0
31.01.12	Brescia - Juve Stabia	N/A

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