Match Info

Serie B - Round 36

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato (Cittadella)

Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Cittadella		Brescia

	1	X	2
	3	2.9	2.3	Watch
	3.1	2.87	2.5
	3.1	3	2.42	Watch
	3.22	2.88	2.67
	3.05	3.06	2.44	Watch
	2.8	3	2.6
	3.1	3.04	2.5	Watch
	3.1	3	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.81)	2.97 ↓ (3.13)	2.48 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cittadella
30.6%

Draw
31.6%

Brescia
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

30%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

30.1%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	36.4%	45.5%

Cittadella - Brescia Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Brescia will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brescia: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Kastrati E. (G) 2. Salvi A. 26. Pavan N. (C) 13. Capradossi E. 24. Carissoni L. 17. Tronchin S. 5. Casolari F. 37. Palmieri R. 11. Desogus J. 31. Okwonkwo O. 7. Pandolfi L.	1. Lezzerini L. (G) 5. Calvani G. 28. Adorni D. 23. Galazzi N. 6. Verreth M. 25. Bisoli D. 11. Moncini G. 24. Dickmann L. 29. Borrelli G. 39. Besaggio M. 18. Jallow A.
Substitutes
8. Amatucci F. 4. Angeli M. 19. D'Alessio F. 9. Diaw D. 78. Maniero L. (G) 32. Masciangelo E. 6. Matino E. 35. Piccinini S. 21. Rabbi S. 74. Sanogo A. 18. Tessiore A. 20. Voltan D.	22. Andrenacci L. (G) 12. Avella M. (G) 9. Bianchi F. 8. Bjarnason B. 15. Cistana A. 19. Corrado N. 16. D'Andrea L. 7. Juric A. 14. Maucci G. 20. Nuamah P. 27. Olzer G. 32. Papetti A.
Coaches
Dal Canto A.	Maran R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Tronchin S. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Borrelli G. ⚽, Bisoli D. (A),
45+2', Carissoni L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tronchin S. ↓, Amatucci F. ↑,
54', Besaggio M. ↓, Bjarnason B. ↑,
62', Palmieri R. ↓, Voltan D. ↑,
62', Salvi A. ↓, Masciangelo E. ↑,
63', Casolari F. 🟨,
67', Okwonkwo O. ↓, Diaw D. ↑,
68', Moncini G. 🟨,
70', Desogus J. ↓, Rabbi S. ↑,
76', Moncini G. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
76', Galazzi N. ↓, Corrado N. ↑,
80', Capradossi E. 🟨,
86', Bjarnason B. 🟨,
90+2', Rabbi S. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 2.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Cittadella: Cecchetto A. (Inactive) Djibril A. (Injury) Negro S. (Injury) Vita A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Brescia: Fogliata R. (Injury) Jallow A. (Inactive) Verreth M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Brescia: Bertagnoli M. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cittadella won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:27 (average 1.2:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams, Cittadella won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11 (average 1.3:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Brescia - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36.63%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
25.04.25	Reggiana - Cittadella	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Sampdoria - Cittadella	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Cittadella - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Cremonese - Cittadella	2:2 ✺
15.03.25	Cittadella - Sassuolo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLTTL
- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
25.04.25	Brescia - Pisa	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Nuova Cosenza - Brescia	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Brescia - Mantova	1:2 ✺
28.03.25	Spezia - Brescia	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Frosinone - Brescia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
24.08.24	Brescia - Cittadella	0:1
03.02.24	Brescia - Cittadella	2:0
04.11.23	Cittadella - Brescia	3:2
01.03.23	Cittadella - Brescia	0:0
08.10.22	Brescia - Cittadella	1:1
30.04.22	Cittadella - Brescia	1:0
19.12.21	Brescia - Cittadella	1:1

Upcoming Matches