The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Modena 59.1%
Draw 23.3%
Reggiana 17.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.2%
23.3%
17.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61%
22.6%
17%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Reggiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
25%
12.5%
Modena - Reggiana Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Reggiana will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 29% โ 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Pezzolato M. (G) 77. Tonoli D. 19. Nador S. 20. Nieling B. 7. Zampano F. 17. Massolin Y. 16. Gerli F. (C) 18. Pyyhtia N. 98. Zanimacchia L. 10. Ambrosino G. 99. De Luca M.
1. Micai A. (G) 26. Bertagnoli M. 34. Vicari F. 47. Mateus Lusuardi 43. Bonetti S. 80. Girma N. 57. Belardinelli L. 17. Libutti L. 93. Lambourde M. 90. Portanova M. (C) 11. Gondo C.
Substitutes
28. Adorni D. 78. Bagheria F. (G) 2. Beyuku G. 33. Cauz C. 24. Colpo E. 29. Cotali M. 25. Dellavalle A. 90. Imputato A. 11. Mendes P. 8. Santoro S. 5. Sersanti A. 71. Wiafe S.
10. Bozhanaj K. 3. Bozzolan A. 45. Cardinali M. (G) 8. Charlys 77. Fumagalli T. 9. Novakovich A. 14. Quaranta D. 16. Reinhart T. 31. Sampirisi M. 12. Seculin A. (G) 33. Tripaldelli A. 6. Vallarelli F.
Coaches
Sottil A.
Bisoli P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Gerli F. ↓, Santoro S. ↑,
13', 1 - 0, Zampano F. ⚽, Zanimacchia L. (A),
14', Zampano F. 🟨,
35', Bonetti S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bonetti S. ↓, Tripaldelli A. ↑,
56', Belardinelli L. 🟨,
56', 2 - 0, Ambrosino G. ⚽, Massolin Y. (A),
57', Ambrosino G. 🟨,
57', Belardinelli L. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑,
58', Girma N. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Vicari F. ⚽, Bozhanaj K. (A),
69', Ambrosino G. 🟨,
72', De Luca M. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
72', Pyyhtia N. ↓, Sersanti A. ↑,
74', Libutti L. ↓, Reinhart T. ↑,
76', Santoro S. 🟨,
83', Zampano F. ↓, Cotali M. ↑,
83', Massolin Y. ↓, Wiafe S. ↑,
84', Bertagnoli M. ↓, Fumagalli T. ↑,
85', Portanova M. 🟨,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 2.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Recently, Modena has had a series of away games.
In this match, Modena is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Modena: Chichizola L.
(Injury)
Defrel G.
(Inactive)
Gliozzi E.
(Injury)
Santoro S.
(Inactive)
Sersanti A.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Reggiana: Bozzolan A.
(Foot Injury)
Libutti L.
(Inactive)
Papetti A.
(Red Card)
Paz Y.
(Knee Injury)
Rover M.
(Yellow Cards)
Rozzio P.
(Ankle Injury)
Sampirisi M.
(Inactive)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Modena won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).