Match Info

Date: 31 October 2020, Saturday


	Brescia		Virtus Entella

	1	X	2
	2	2.9	4.5	Watch
	2	3	4.33
	2.1	3	3.95	Watch
	2.09	2.95	3.75
	2.12	3.14	4.2
	1.85	3.1	5
	2.1	2.99	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.81)	3.01 ↓ (3.17)	4.28 ↓ (5.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brescia
46.4%

Draw
31.4%

Virtus Entella
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

29.7%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

17.5%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brescia's form might have worsened.

Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brescia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Entella could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44%	32%	24%

Brescia - Virtus Entella Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 11 - 44%). Virtus Entella will win (votes: 6 - 24%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 32%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brescia: 24.5% – 63.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Brescia has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (47%), has a chance of promoted (36%), has a small chance of win league (14%).

Virtus Entella has a chance of relegated (32%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (17%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Brescia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Virtus Entella have a series of home games.

In this match Brescia is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Brescia won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Brescia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brescia Calcio
Coppa Italia
28.10.20	Brescia - Perugia	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie B
20.10.20	Chievo - Brescia	1:0 ✺
16.10.20	Brescia - Lecce	3:0 ✺
04.10.20	Cittadella - Brescia	3:0 ✺
26.09.20	Brescia - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLT
- Virtus Entella
Coppa Italia
27.10.20	Virtus Entella - Pisa	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie B
20.10.20	Frosinone - Virtus Entella	0:0 ✺
17.10.20	Virtus Entella - Reggina	1:1 ✺
03.10.20	Virtus Entella - Reggiana	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
30.09.20	Virtus Entella - AlbinoLeffe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
03.04.18	Brescia - Virtus Entella	0:0
08.10.17	Virtus Entella - Brescia	3:0
01.04.17	Brescia - Virtus Entella	2:2
29.10.16	Virtus Entella - Brescia	4:0
19.04.16	Brescia - Virtus Entella	2:0
04.12.15	Virtus Entella - Brescia	0:0
31.01.15	Brescia - Virtus Entella	3:0

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