Match Info

Date: 28 October 2021, Thursday


	Brescia		Lecce

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.9	Watch
	2.37	3.25	2.87
	2.45	3.3	2.85	Watch
	2.36	3.25	2.8
	2.44	3.51	3.01
	2.38	3.3	2.88
	2.36	3.48	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.55)	3.37 ↓ (3.5)	2.89 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Network on TV: FOX Soccer Plus

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Current Win Probability

Brescia
39.5%

Draw
27.9%

Lecce
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

26.5%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

19.4%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brescia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lecce could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	36.7%	20.4%

Brescia - Lecce Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 21 - 42.9%). Lecce will win (votes: 10 - 20.4%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 36.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brescia: 29% – 56.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Brescia has the most likely position - 1 (11.8%), has project points - 61, has currently - 17, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (48%), has a chance of promoted (30%), has a small chance of win league (12%).

Lecce has the most likely position - 1 (16.35%), has project points - 63, has currently - 16, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (48%), has a chance of promoted (38%), has a chance of win league (16%).

Recent matches Brescia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lecce is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Brescia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Brescia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
23.10.21	Brescia - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
16.10.21	Perugia - Brescia	1:0 ✺
03.10.21	Brescia - Como	2:4 ✺
25.09.21	Ascoli - Brescia	2:3 ✺
20.09.21	Frosinone - Brescia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWT
- US Lecce
Italian Serie B
23.10.21	Lecce - Perugia	0:0 ✺
16.10.21	Ascoli - Lecce	1:1 ✺
01.10.21	Lecce - Monza	3:0 ✺
25.09.21	Cittadella - Lecce	1:2 ✺
21.09.21	Crotone - Lecce	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
09.02.21	Lecce - Brescia	2:2
16.10.20	Brescia - Lecce	3:0
Italian Serie A
22.07.20	Lecce - Brescia	3:1
14.12.19	Brescia - Lecce	3:0
Italian Serie B
28.04.19	Lecce - Brescia	1:0
16.12.18	Brescia - Lecce	2:1

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