Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 8

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Mario Rigamonti (Brescia)

Referee: Monaldi M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Brescia		Ascoli

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.25
	2.3	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.35	3.09	3.59
	2.27	3.05	3.4	Watch
	2.33	3.1	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.1)	3.09 ↓ (3.25)	3.32 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brescia
40.9%

Draw
30.6%

Ascoli
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

29.2%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

29.3%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	46.2%	7.7%

Brescia - Ascoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Ascoli will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brescia: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lezzerini L. (G) 32. Papetti A. 15. Cistana A. 14. Mangraviti M. 24. Dickmann L. 25. Bisoli D. 6. Fares M. 23. Galazzi N. 9. Bianchi F. 7. Bjarnason B. 29. Borrelli G.	2. Viviano E. (G) 40. Bayeye B. J. 33. Botteghin E. 55. Bellusci G. 8. Giovane S. 5. Gnahore E. 30. Nestorovski I. 18. Di Tacchio F. 99. Rodriguez P. 23. Falzerano M. 90. Mendes P.
Substitutes
28. Adorni D. 22. Andrenacci L. (G) 21. Fogliata R. 3. Huard M. 18. Jallow A. 11. Moncini G. 8. Ndoj E. 27. Olzer G. 4. Paghera F.	1. Barosi D. (G) 12. Bolletta L. (G) 10. Caligara F. 15. D'Uffizi S. 54. Falasco N. 3. Haveri K. 6. Kraja E. 28. Manzari G. 73. Masini P. 20. Milanese T. 7. Millico V. 14. Quaranta D.
Coaches
Gastaldello D.	Viali W.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brescia won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Brescia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Brescia won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Brescia won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
26.09.23	Spezia - Brescia	0:0 ✺
23.09.23	Brescia - Venezia	0:0 ✺
16.09.23	Lecco - Brescia	0:2 ✺
03.09.23	Brescia - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.23	Mantova - Brescia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TTWWL
- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
26.09.23	Ascoli - Ternana	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Cremonese - Ascoli	2:2 ✺
16.09.23	Ascoli - Palermo	0:1 ✺
02.09.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Ascoli	3:1 ✺
29.08.23	Ascoli - FeralpiSalò	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
01.04.23	Ascoli - Brescia	4:3
05.11.22	Brescia - Ascoli	1:1
23.02.22	Brescia - Ascoli	2:0
25.09.21	Ascoli - Brescia	2:3
30.01.21	Ascoli - Brescia	2:1
26.09.20	Brescia - Ascoli	1:1
01.05.19	Brescia - Ascoli	1:0

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