Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 16

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Roazhon Park (Rennes)

Referee: Millot B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Bulgaria	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2, Free, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Mexico	Caliente TV, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV5
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
South-america	ESPN 4 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360


	Rennes		Brest

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.8	4	Watch
	1.88	3.7	3.95
	1.88	3.88	4.16
	1.86	3.8	3.98	Watch
	1.83	3.5	3.9
	1.89	3.88	4.09	Watch
	1.85	3.8	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.83)	3.77 ↓ (3.83)	4.01 ↑ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rennes
51%

Draw
25.3%

Brest
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

24.7%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

23.9%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

The chances for Brest have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Rennes - Brest Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Rennes (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Brest (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Rennes (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Brest (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rennes will win (20 of 25 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.32% – 95.68%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Rennes (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Brest (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Samba B. (G) 48. Ait Boudlal A. 24. Rouault A. 3. Brassier L. 95. Frankowski P. 45. Camara M. 21. Rongier V. (C) 6. Cisse D. 11. Tamari M. 9. Lepaul E. 7. Embolo B.	30. Coudert G. (G) 77. Lala K. 5. Chardonnet B. (C) 44. Coulibaly S. 27. Guindo D. 13. Chotard J. 8. Magnetti H. 10. Del Castillo R. 23. Doumbia K. 99. Mboup P. 17. Balde M.
Substitutes
10. Blas L. 8. Fofana S. 4. Kamara G. 75. Legendre E. 39. Meite M. 26. Merlin Q. 18. Nagida M. 36. Seidu A. 50. Silistrie M. (G)	18. Bourgault J. 4. Diaz Jr. M. 7. Dina Ebimbe J. 14. Labeau Lascary R. 25. Le Cardinal J. 2. Locko B. 1. Majecki R. (G) 33. Makalou H. 24. Tousart L.
Coaches
Beye H.	Roy E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Balde M. ⚽, Doumbia K. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Lepaul E. ⚽, Tamari M. (A),
25', 2 - 1, Tamari M. ⚽,
29', Tamari M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Frankowski P. ↓, Merlin Q. ↑,
58', Cisse D. ↓, Blas L. ↑,
65', Doumbia K. 🟨,
70', Balde M. ↓, Labeau Lascary R. ↑,
80', Lepaul E. ↓, Meite M. ↑,
80', Embolo B. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
80', Tamari M. ↓, Seidu A. ↑,
81', Magnetti H. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
81', Doumbia K. ↓, Dina Ebimbe J. ↑,
86', Coulibaly S. 🟨,
87', 3 - 1, Meite M. ⚽, Merlin Q. (A),
88', Guindo D. ↓, Locko B. ↑,
88', Del Castillo R. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,
90', Blas L. 🟨,
90+1', Dina Ebimbe J. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 0.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Rennes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rennes is the team to beat.

There will not play in Rennes: Jacquet J. (Red Card)

There will not play in Brest: Ajorque L. (Red Card) Zogbe L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Rennes: Fofana S. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Brest: Doumbia K. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rennes won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 2.2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
06.12.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Rennes	5:0 ✺
28.11.25	Metz - Rennes	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Rennes - Monaco	4:1 ✺
07.11.25	Paris FC - Rennes	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Rennes - Strasbourg	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWWWW
- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
05.12.25	Brest - Monaco	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Strasbourg - Brest	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Brest - Metz	3:2 ✺
08.11.25	Olympique Marseille - Brest	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Brest - Lyon	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.07.25	Rennes - Brest	2:3
French Ligue 1
18.01.25	Rennes - Brest	1:2
19.10.24	Brest - Rennes	1:1
28.04.24	Rennes - Brest	4:5
02.09.23	Brest - Rennes	0:0
Club Friendly
26.07.23	Brest - Rennes	0:1
French Ligue 1
03.06.23	Brest - Rennes	1:2

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