Match Info

Date: 11 April 2021, Sunday


	Brest		Nîmes

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.75	3.8	Watch
	1.95	3.7	3.7
	2	3.7	3.55	Watch
	1.98	3.55	3.7
	2.02	3.77	3.8
	2	3.5	3.6
	2.01	3.7	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.02)	3.67 ↑ (3.63)	3.69 ↑ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brest
48.2%

Draw
26%

Nîmes
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

26.3%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

17%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brest that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nîmes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	19.4%	19.4%

Brest - Nîmes Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 22 - 61.1%). Nîmes will win (votes: 7 - 19.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 19.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 45.2% – 77%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

No spectators.

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 18 in the zone Ligue 1 (Relegation)).

Brest has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Nîmes has a good chance of relegated (62%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Brest is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nîmes is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Brest will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Brest won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Brest won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
04.04.21	Lorient - Brest	1:0 ✺
21.03.21	Brest - Angers	0:0 ✺
13.03.21	Olympique Marseille - Brest	3:1 ✺
Coupe De France
06.03.21	Brest - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
03.03.21	Brest - Dijon	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLLW
- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 1
04.04.21	Nîmes - Saint-Étienne	0:2 ✺
21.03.21	Lille - Nîmes	1:2 ✺
14.03.21	Nîmes - Montpellier	1:1 ✺
03.03.21	Nice - Nîmes	2:1 ✺
28.02.21	Nîmes - Nantes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.1 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
23.08.20	Nîmes - Brest	4:0
16.05.20	Brest - Nîmes	Canceled
31.08.19	Nîmes - Brest	3:0
French Ligue 2
19.03.18	Brest - Nîmes	0:2
20.10.17	Nîmes - Brest	4:0
06.05.17	Brest - Nîmes	2:3
09.12.16	Nîmes - Brest	1:2

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