Match Info

Date: 14 March 2021, Sunday


	Nîmes		Montpellier

	1	X	2
	4	3.6	1.85	Watch
	3.7	3.6	2
	4	3.55	1.92	Watch
	3.95	3.5	1.91
	4.23	3.6	1.96
	4	3.5	1.91	Watch
	4.15	3.73	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↑ (3.32)	3.58 ↓ (3.61)	1.92 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nîmes
23.8%

Draw
26.6%

Montpellier
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

26.5%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

21%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montpellier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13%	17.4%	69.6%

Nîmes - Montpellier Predictions

Users Predictions: 92 users predict this event. Nîmes will win (votes: 12 - 13%). Montpellier will win (votes: 64 - 69.6%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montpellier: 60.2% – 79%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Ligue 1 (Relegation) and 8).

Nîmes has a good chance of relegated (59%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Montpellier has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Montpellier could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Montpellier is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Nîmes won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 1
03.03.21	Nice - Nîmes	2:1 ✺
28.02.21	Nîmes - Nantes	1:1 ✺
24.02.21	Nîmes - Lorient	1:0 ✺
21.02.21	Nîmes - Bordeaux	2:0 ✺
14.02.21	Dijon - Nîmes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTWWW
- Montpellier HSC
Coupe De France
06.03.21	Olympique Alès - Montpellier	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
03.03.21	Montpellier - Lorient	1:1 ✺
28.02.21	Reims - Montpellier	0:0 ✺
21.02.21	Montpellier - Rennes	2:1 ✺
13.02.21	Lyon - Montpellier	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
04.10.20	Montpellier - Nîmes	0:1
25.09.19	Montpellier - Nîmes	1:0
03.02.19	Nîmes - Montpellier	1:1
30.09.18	Montpellier - Nîmes	3:0

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