What is the expert prediction for Olympique Marseille vs Brest?

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Olympique Marseille vs Brest Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, November 08, 2025)

Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 12

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Vélodrome (Marseille)

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5, Arena Sport 6
Bulgaria	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	CCTV-5, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 4
Malta	TVM Sport+
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
South-america	ESPN 4 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+


	Olympique Marseille		Brest

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.44	4.7	6.9
	1.46	4.83	6.92
	1.40	4.95	7.04	Watch
	1.53	4.73	6.76	Watch
	1.46	4.82	6.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.41)	4.8 ↓ (4.91)	6.84 ↓ (7.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympique Marseille
65.9%

Draw
20%

Brest
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

19.3%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

18.4%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.8%	3.4%	13.8%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 24 - 82.8%). Brest will win (votes: 4 - 13.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 69.1% – 96.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Marseille (2.01) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - draw (2.72) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Olympique Marseille will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Marseille (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Brest (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rulli G. (G) 28. Pavard B. 21. Aguerd N. 33. Emerson 62. Murillo M. 18. Vermeeren A. 23. Hojbjerg P. (C) 8. Gomes A. 10. Greenwood M. 14. Paixao I. 97. Aubameyang P.	1. Majecki R. (G) 77. Lala K. 5. Chardonnet B. (C) 44. Coulibaly S. 2. Locko B. 13. Chotard J. 8. Magnetti H. 17. Balde M. 10. Del Castillo R. 99. Mboup P. 19. Ajorque L.
Substitutes
50. Bakola D. 12. De Lange J. (G) 4. Egan-Riley C. 19. Kondogbia G. 7. Maupay N. 76. Mmadi T. 17. O'Riley M. 34. Vaz R. 22. Weah T.	30. Coudert G. (G) 4. Diaz Jr. M. 7. Dina Ebimbe J. 27. Guindo D. 14. Labeau Lascary R. 26. Le Cardinal J. 33. Makalou H. 24. Tousart L. 12. Zogbe L.
Coaches
De Zerbi R.	Roy E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Gomes A. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Greenwood M. (Pen),
33', Locko B. ↓, Guindo D. ↑,
37', Mboup P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Balde M. ↓, Labeau Lascary R. ↑,
46', Mboup P. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
70', Gomes A. ↓, O'Riley M. ↑,
74', Magnetti H. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,
79', Aguerd N. ↓, Egan-Riley C. ↑,
79', Greenwood M. ↓, Vaz R. ↑,
82', 3 - 0, Aubameyang P. ⚽, O'Riley M. (A),
83', Chotard J. ↓, Dina Ebimbe J. ↑,
86', Aubameyang P. ↓, Mmadi T. ↑,
87', Hojbjerg P. ↓, Bakola D. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 3.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Brest may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Marseille is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Marseille: Balerdi L. (Muscle Injury) Garcia U. (Red Card) Gouiri A. (Shoulder Injury) Medina F. (Ankle Injury) Traore H. J. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Marseille: Kondogbia G. (Calf Injury) Nadir B. (Head Injury) Weah T. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Brest: Doumbia K. (Knee Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:15. (average 2.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Marseille won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 2:1).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Marseille
UEFA Champions League
05.11.25	Olympique Marseille - Atalanta	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
01.11.25	Auxerre - Olympique Marseille	0:1 ✺
29.10.25	Olympique Marseille - Angers	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Lens - Olympique Marseille	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.10.25	Sporting Lisbon - Olympique Marseille	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWTLL
- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
02.11.25	Brest - Lyon	0:0 ✺
29.10.25	Le Havre - Brest	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Brest - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3 ✺
19.10.25	Lorient - Brest	3:3 ✺
04.10.25	Brest - Nantes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
27.04.25	Olympique Marseille - Brest	4:1
17.08.24	Brest - Olympique Marseille	1:5
18.02.24	Brest - Olympique Marseille	1:0
26.08.23	Olympique Marseille - Brest	2:0
27.05.23	Olympique Marseille - Brest	1:2
14.08.22	Brest - Olympique Marseille	1:1
13.03.22	Brest - Olympique Marseille	1:4

Olympique Marseille - Brest: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide