Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 3

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Parc des Princes (Paris)

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2
Austria	Laola1
Bolivia	ESPN 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Brazil	Xsports
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Finland	Viaplay
France	Ligue 1+
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One, FOX Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 4
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4


	Paris Saint-Germain		Monaco

	1	X	2
	1.30	5.75	8.00	Watch
	1.34	5.75	7.50
	1.29	5.80	8.00	Watch
	1.38	5.90	7.95
	1.4	5.65	7.11	Watch
	1.34	5.95	8.20
	1.33	6.16	8.57	Watch
	1.32	6.40	8.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.38)	5.92 ↑ (5.36)	8.02 ↑ (7.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris Saint-Germain
71.8%

Draw
16.2%

Monaco
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

17.8%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

18.8%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Paris Saint Germain - Monaco Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 30 - 76.9%). Monaco will win (votes: 3 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 63.7% – 90.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Monaco (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Monaco (1.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.63) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -2.5 - PSG (3.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 3 - 50%). Monaco (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Safonov M. (G) 2. Hakimi A. 5. Marquinhos (C) 51. Pacho W. 33. Zaire-Emery W. 87. Neves J. 17. Vitinha 8. Ruiz F. 14. Doue D. 11. Akliouche M. 7. Kvaratskhelia K.	1. Hradecky L. (G) 2. Vanderson 72. Sane S. 15. Dier E. 20. Nazinho 8. Camara L. 6. Zakaria D. (C) 28. Coulibaly M. 10. Golovin A. 17. Idumbo S. 29. Brunner P.
Substitutes
4. Beraldo L. 30. Chevalier L. (G) 10. Dembele O. 27. Fernandez D. 22. Godts M. 21. Hernandez L. 24. Mayulu S. 9. Torres F. 6. Zabarnyi I.	11. Abline M. 47. Benzahra S. 14. Biereth M. 7. Detourbet M. 16. Kohn P. (G) 13. Mawissa C. 46. Soubeir A. 4. Teze J. 49. Toure I.
Coaches
Luis Enrique	Filipe Luis

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Marquinhos ⚽, Kvaratskhelia K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', Vanderson ↓, Teze J. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Nazinho ⚽, Teze J. (A),
63', Doue D. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
63', Zaire-Emery W. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
68', Hernandez L. 🟨,
68', Teze J. 🟨,
68', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Godts M. ↑,
68', Akliouche M. ↓, Dembele O. ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Idumbo S. ⚽, Golovin A. (A),
73', Coulibaly M. ↓, Soubeir A. ↑,
73', Brunner P. ↓, Abline M. ↑,
76', Ruiz F. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
87', Golovin A. ↓, Benzahra S. ↑,
87', Idumbo S. ↓, Mawissa C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 2.

PSG has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Monaco is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Monaco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, PSG has had a series of away games.

In this match, PSG is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in PSG: Mendes N. (Red Card)

There will not play in Monaco: Balogun F. (Injury) Fati A. (Calf Injury) Minamino T. (Knee Injury) Salisu M. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PSG won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 42:30. (average 2.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 2.2:1.5).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

PSG: 70.91% Monaco: 8.18%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8:3	5	13
6	PSG	5	2	2	1	8:7	1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1
28.08.26	Lille - Paris Saint-Germain	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Rennes - Paris Saint-Germain	2:2 ✺
French Super Cup
16.08.26	Lens - Paris Saint-Germain	1:0 ✺
UEFA Super Cup
12.08.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Aston Villa	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Mallorca - Paris Saint-Germain	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTLWL
- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
30.08.26	Monaco - Olympique Marseille	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Monaco - Górnik Zabrze	4:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
23.08.26	Le Havre - Monaco	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	Górnik Zabrze - Monaco	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.26	Coventry City - Monaco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
06.03.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco	1:3
UEFA Champions League
25.02.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco	2:2
17.02.26	Monaco - Paris Saint-Germain	2:3
French Ligue 1
29.11.25	Monaco - Paris Saint-Germain	1:0
07.02.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco	4:1
French Super Cup
05.01.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco	1:0
French Ligue 1
18.12.24	Monaco - Paris Saint-Germain	2:4

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