Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 39

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday


	Brightlingsea Regent		Wingate & Finchley

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.5	1.88
	3.53	3.56	1.97
	2.9	3.75	2
	3.52	3.62	1.9
	3.4	3.5	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (2.95)	3.59 ↓ (3.75)	1.94 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brightlingsea Regent
27.5%

Draw
25.5%

Wingate & Finchley
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

24.3%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

22.6%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brightlingsea Regent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Wingate & Finchley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brightlingsea Regent than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brightlingsea Regent, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wingate & Finchley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Brightlingsea Regent - Wingate & Finchley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 17).

Brightlingsea is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brightlingsea won 0.

Brightlingsea has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Wingate & Finchley is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wingate & Finchley will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Brightlingsea won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Brightlingsea won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brightlingsea Regent
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.04.23	Brightlingsea Regent - Bowers & Pitsea	0:2 ✺
25.03.23	Aveley - Brightlingsea Regent	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Brightlingsea Regent - Cray Wanderers	0:1 ✺
14.03.23	Lewes - Brightlingsea Regent	2:0 ✺
11.03.23	Hornchurch - Brightlingsea Regent	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTLLL
- Wingate & Finchley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.04.23	Wingate & Finchley - Canvey Island	0:2 ✺
25.03.23	Corinthian-Casuals - Wingate & Finchley	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Wingate & Finchley - Bishops Stortford	0:1 ✺
14.03.23	Wingate & Finchley - Hornchurch	2:4 ✺
11.03.23	Billericay Town - Wingate & Finchley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.10.22	Wingate & Finchley - Brightlingsea Regent	5:0
26.02.22	Wingate & Finchley - Brightlingsea Regent	1:1
16.10.21	Brightlingsea Regent - Wingate & Finchley	1:3
25.01.20	Wingate & Finchley - Brightlingsea Regent	0:0
12.10.19	Brightlingsea Regent - Wingate & Finchley	1:1
26.01.19	Wingate & Finchley - Brightlingsea Regent	2:2
13.11.18	Brightlingsea Regent - Wingate & Finchley	0:1

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