Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 30

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday


	Wingate & Finchley		Canvey Island

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.4	3.4
	1.82	3.7	3.45
	1.83	3.83	3.59
	1.83	3.95	3.49	Watch
	1.75	3.6	3.6
	1.92	3.76	3.55
	1.9	3.5	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.73)	3.68 ↓ (3.89)	3.53 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Wingate & Finchley
49.4%

Draw
24.8%

Canvey Island
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

23.7%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

23%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wingate & Finchley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Canvey Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wingate & Finchley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canvey Island than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Wingate & Finchley - Canvey Island Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Botti G. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+7', 2 - 0, Botti G. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wingate & Finchley won 3.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Wingate & Finchley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Wingate & Finchley might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Wingate & Finchley won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 1.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Wingate & Finchley won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.4:1.7).

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Wingate & Finchley: 1.64%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Wingate & Finchley	8	3	2	3	13:18	-5	11

Last Results with these Odds

Canvey Island - the odds 3.98 are the expected chance of winning is 23.13%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wingate & Finchley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.02.26	Burgess Hill Town - Wingate & Finchley	3:2 ✺
17.02.26	Wingate & Finchley - Potters Bar Town	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Wingate & Finchley - Cheshunt	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Wingate & Finchley - Ramsgate	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Folkestone Invicta - Wingate & Finchley	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL
- Canvey Island
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.02.26	Chichester City - Canvey Island	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Canvey Island - Cray Valley Paper Mills	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Canvey Island - Potters Bar Town	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	Whitehawk - Canvey Island	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Canvey Island - Welling United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
04.11.25	Canvey Island - Wingate & Finchley	1:1
26.04.25	Wingate & Finchley - Canvey Island	0:0
24.08.24	Canvey Island - Wingate & Finchley	2:3
09.03.24	Canvey Island - Wingate & Finchley	0:2
21.10.23	Wingate & Finchley - Canvey Island	6:2
01.04.23	Wingate & Finchley - Canvey Island	0:2
22.10.22	Canvey Island - Wingate & Finchley	0:3

Upcoming Matches