Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Final

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Z'dezele (Celje)

Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Celje		Slovan Bratislava

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	3
	2.50	3.30	2.85
	2.4	3.1	2.88
	2.5	3.29	3.24
	2.46	3.25	3	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.95
	2.52	3.29	3.07
	2.39	3.15	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.77)	3.21 ↑ (3.11)	2.99 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celje
38.7%

Draw
29.6%

Slovan Bratislava
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

31%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

34.1%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Slovan Bratislava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celje than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovan Bratislava than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	33.3%	39.4%

Celje - Slovan Bratislava Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Celje will win (votes: 9 - 27.3%). Slovan Bratislava will win (votes: 13 - 39.4%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Slovan Bratislava: 22.7% – 56.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Celje (1.81) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Slovan Bratislava will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Celje (votes: 1 - 20%). Slovan Bratislava (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leban Z. (G) 2. Sirvys P. 4. Hrka D. 6. Tutyskinas A. 11. Avdyli M. 13. Daniel P. 19. Zabukovnik M. (C) 91. Dukuly Y. 10. Seslar S. 8. Kvesic M. 17. Kotnik A.	71. Takac D. (G) 28. Blackman C. 12. Bajric K. 15. Markovic S. 57. Cruz S. 70. Martinez C. 3. Pokorny P. 11. Barseghyan T. 5. Ibrahim R. 21. Camara S. 99. Sporar A. (C)
Substitutes
27. Calusic I. 20. Dionkou A. 23. Frelih Z. (G) 77. Ivansek M. 12. Kolar L. (G) 33. Koutris L. 47. Kucys A. 99. Poplatnik M. 94. Pozeg R. 25. Tusha V. 7. Verbic B. 3. Vuklisevic D.	13. Cerepkai R. 8. Gajdos A. 77. Ignatenko D. 19. Kianga M. 2. Kozlovsky S. 10. Marcelli N. 29. Maros A. 88. Matsuoka D. 20. Mustafic A. 1. Popovic A. (G) 6. Wimmer K. 14. Yirajang A.
Coaches
Campelos V.	Toure Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', Sirvys P. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Sporar A. ⚽, Bajric K. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Seslar S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Cruz S. 🟨,
59', Avdyli M. 🟨,
73', Ibrahim R. ↓, Mustafic A. ↑,
73', Barseghyan T. ↓, Marcelli N. ↑,
73', Daniel P. ↓, Verbic B. ↑,
73', Sirvys P. ↓, Dionkou A. ↑,
80', Kotnik A. ↓, Kucys A. ↑,
80', Dukuly Y. ↓, Ivansek M. ↑,
81', Sporar A. ↓, Cerepkai R. ↑,
84', Tutyskinas A. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
100', 1 - 2, Martinez C. ⚽, Marcelli N. (A),
103', Camara S. ↓, Maros A. ↑,
106', Hrka D. ↓, Koutris L. ↑,
106', Kvesic M. ↓, Poplatnik M. ↑,
106', Martinez C. ↓, Ignatenko D. ↑,
118', Verbic B. 🟨,
119', Kotnik A. 🟥,
120', Blackman C. ↓, Wimmer K. ↑,
120+1', Campelos V. 🟨,
120+1', Seslar S. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1.

Celje is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Slovan Bratislava is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Celje may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Celje: Bejger L. (Shin Injury) Pisek J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Slovan Bratislava: Kukharevych M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Celje: Daniel P. (Injury) Sirvys P. (Injury)

There are questionable in Slovan Bratislava: Sporar A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Celje won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Celje won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Slovan Bratislava: 0.22%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
35	Slovan Bratislava	1	0	0	1	1:6	-5	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Celje
UEFA Champions League
19.08.26	Slovan Bratislava - Celje	1:1 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
15.08.26	Nafta - Celje	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.08.26	Celje - Ararat-Armenia	2:0 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
08.08.26	Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.08.26	Ararat-Armenia - Celje	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWWWL
- Slovan Bratislava
Slovak Superliga
22.08.26	MFK Košice - Slovan Bratislava	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.08.26	Slovan Bratislava - Celje	1:1 ✺
Slovak Superliga
15.08.26	Slovan Bratislava - Ružomberok	5:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.08.26	Slovan Bratislava - Mjällby	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Mjällby - Slovan Bratislava	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
19.08.26	Slovan Bratislava - Celje	1:1
30.07.24	Slovan Bratislava - Celje	5:0
24.07.24	Celje - Slovan Bratislava	1:1

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